{ "ticker": { "uuid": "48850eed-24af-4a67-9538-0f509ac3f128", "symbol": "002095", "name": "Zhejiang NetSun Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.406, "architecture_energy": 34.919, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 93.022, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.78, "rotation_up": 27.76, "upward_expansion": 18.39, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 35.84, "downward_expansion": 68.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.712667, 13.469775, 14.015774, 14.823691 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 14.14, "trend_reference": 15.986579, "distance_from_trend": -0.115508, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.62087, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.197542, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.893989, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.231522, "excess_performance": -0.238921, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.115508, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.102751, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.197542, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.111111, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.22894, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071624, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.231522, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.310774, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18551693, "relative_activity": 1.493916, "balance": 0.310774, "dry_up": 1.295505, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066165, "annualized_volatility": 0.290968, "from_high_reference": -0.394173, "from_low_reference": 0.134831 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.986579, "fair_value_reference": 17.62087, "structural_low": 12.46, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.003576, "positive_rate": 0.481481, "directional_follow_through": 0.518519, "median_excess_return": -0.01361, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.351935, "worst_return": -0.201541, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.009217, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.036632, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.591571, "worst_return": -0.239155, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.045085, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.112525, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.570881, "worst_return": -0.290715, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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13.522412, 14.624104, 15.520464 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.29, "volume": 15867044, "typical_volume": 16359946.55, "trend": 16.404579, "fair_value": 17.754543, "relative_strength": -27.404025, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.854397, "energy": 65.109324, "activity_lines": [ 13.118, 13.371596, 14.400022, 15.31077 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.9, "volume": 13749165, "typical_volume": 14433845.3, "trend": 16.238579, "fair_value": 17.705365, "relative_strength": -28.793432, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.954329, "energy": 64.179246, "activity_lines": [ 13.049333, 13.21109, 14.16932, 15.084668 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.17, "volume": 16183253, "typical_volume": 13300136.1, "trend": 16.116579, "fair_value": 17.664455, "relative_strength": -19.631189, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.949285, "energy": 48.062266, "activity_lines": [ 13.432667, 13.335313, 14.084809, 14.951212 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.14, "volume": 18551693, "typical_volume": 12418162.85, "trend": 15.986579, "fair_value": 17.62087, "relative_strength": -22.893989, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.405595, "energy": 34.918596, "activity_lines": [ 13.712667, 13.469775, 14.015774, 14.823691 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }