{ "ticker": { "uuid": "488c3533-1b1a-48b9-8f0d-fc4a77610042", "symbol": "KANPRPLA", "name": "Kanpur Plastipack Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 58.583, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.683, "architecture_energy": 52.636, "architecture_maturity": 10.64, "architecture_confidence": 88.759, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.93, "rotation_up": 65.21, "upward_expansion": 86.34, "deceleration": 43.7, "rotation_down": 11.79, "downward_expansion": 10.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 208.465672, 202.869911, 201.165929, 197.703388 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 209.089996, "trend_reference": 193.065734, "distance_from_trend": 0.082999, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 151.553732, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.379643, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 6.264356, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.066296, "excess_performance": 0.110005, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.082999, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007482, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.379643, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.126611, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.062644, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053113, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.066296, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.157838, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 61698, "relative_activity": 0.606751, "balance": 2.157838, "dry_up": 2.323196, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087125, "annualized_volatility": 0.372272, "from_high_reference": -0.153482, "from_low_reference": 0.382413 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 193.065734, "fair_value_reference": 151.553732, "structural_low": 151.25, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.014312, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.007114, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.074828, "worst_return": -0.280055, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.009024, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.03856, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.102603, "worst_return": -0.264898, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.000171, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.002235, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.090164, "worst_return": -0.138753, 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195.682354, 193.010253 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 198.354604, "volume": 122203, "typical_volume": 66999.05, "trend": 189.490498, "fair_value": 149.716197, "relative_strength": 2.172817, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.230827, "energy": 11.957953, "activity_lines": [ 195.552819, 195.032489, 196.300791, 193.591861 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 219.990751, "volume": 583332, "typical_volume": 94768.5, "trend": 190.82719, "fair_value": 150.38816, "relative_strength": 15.681957, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.739154, "energy": 44.220376, "activity_lines": [ 204.220741, 199.351263, 198.877792, 195.55962 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 206.786336, "volume": 177712, "typical_volume": 102037.3, "trend": 191.820734, "fair_value": 150.951963, "relative_strength": 5.947187, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.926718, "energy": 45.684148, "activity_lines": [ 206.529141, 200.903948, 200.001749, 196.589242 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 209.089996, "volume": 61698, "typical_volume": 101685.9, "trend": 193.065734, "fair_value": 151.553732, "relative_strength": 6.264356, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.683451, "energy": 52.63628, "activity_lines": [ 208.465672, 202.869911, 201.165929, 197.703388 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }