{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4892266d-1d9d-4eb0-846c-071f5ba02cfc", "symbol": "BANKINDIA", "name": "Bank of India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 67.723, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -22.491, "architecture_energy": 14.076, "architecture_maturity": 22.923, "architecture_confidence": 42.56, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.72, "rotation_up": 16.52, "upward_expansion": 9.35, "deceleration": 59.2, "rotation_down": 37.83, "downward_expansion": 61.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 142.393331, 143.195635, 142.118627, 143.313723 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 145.0, "trend_reference": 146.272292, "distance_from_trend": -0.008698, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 117.49568, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.234088, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.387876, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.085075, "excess_performance": -0.041366, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.008698, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008206, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.234088, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020399, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.053879, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01741, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.085075, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.216346, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 35505115, "relative_activity": 0.884728, "balance": 1.216346, "dry_up": 1.112488, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044376, "annualized_volatility": 0.258929, "from_high_reference": -0.160481, "from_low_reference": 0.3631 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 146.272292, "fair_value_reference": 117.49568, "structural_low": 130.264772, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.01631, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.030858, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.120745, "worst_return": -0.042579, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.109786, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.006195, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.306879, "worst_return": -0.050767, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.246534, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.148666, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.83894, "worst_return": 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"activity_lines": [ 144.240666, 143.697779, 142.07931, 144.157675 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 142.619995, "volume": 48880896, "typical_volume": 40012827.9, "trend": 146.370651, "fair_value": 116.686044, "relative_strength": 8.221606, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.540522, "energy": 10.452773, "activity_lines": [ 143.55333, 143.74298, 142.115395, 143.931334 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 137.949997, "volume": 54044501, "typical_volume": 40616087.1, "trend": 146.152325, "fair_value": 117.077198, "relative_strength": 1.557595, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.765871, "energy": 23.113979, "activity_lines": [ 141.572663, 142.850726, 141.763442, 143.388066 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 145.0, "volume": 35505115, "typical_volume": 40131106.75, "trend": 146.272292, "fair_value": 117.49568, "relative_strength": 5.387876, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.491105, "energy": 14.076482, "activity_lines": [ 142.393331, 143.195635, 142.118627, 143.313723 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }