{ "ticker": { "uuid": "489230c2-32fd-4519-866c-02c1f2ff5d5f", "symbol": "LOGI-B", "name": "Logistea AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.173, "architecture_energy": 38.428, "architecture_maturity": 5.28, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.37, "rotation_up": 17.3, "upward_expansion": 8.84, "deceleration": 40.06, "rotation_down": 52.36, "downward_expansion": 77.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.336, 13.407273, 13.5981, 13.646815 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 13.56, "trend_reference": 13.780496, "distance_from_trend": -0.016001, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.847449, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.020758, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.121469, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.062695, "excess_performance": -0.124189, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.016001, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029099, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.020758, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031391, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.161215, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00438, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.062695, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.216908, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1669651, "relative_activity": 0.330846, "balance": 0.216908, "dry_up": 0.3617, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.051963, "annualized_volatility": 0.301183, "from_high_reference": -0.200548, "from_low_reference": 0.099327 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.780496, "fair_value_reference": 13.847449, "structural_low": 12.334818, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.00995, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": 0.002729, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.371921, "worst_return": -0.198347, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.01496, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.083527, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.546468, "worst_return": -0.257638, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.012334, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.024001, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.148039, "worst_return": -0.060492, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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13.827356 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 13.46, "volume": 3504749, "typical_volume": 5695271.35, "trend": 13.900905, "fair_value": 13.726269, "relative_strength": -16.112535, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.868142, "energy": 31.967727, "activity_lines": [ 13.593333, 13.707818, 13.739761, 13.796873 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.16, "volume": 1993582, "typical_volume": 5617652.5, "trend": 13.871951, "fair_value": 13.755342, "relative_strength": -16.496903, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.549379, "energy": 39.676034, "activity_lines": [ 13.453333, 13.595273, 13.686382, 13.749073 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.06, "volume": 1784590, "typical_volume": 5451746.85, "trend": 13.837007, "fair_value": 13.78292, "relative_strength": -17.802187, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.68186, "energy": 36.998034, "activity_lines": [ 13.325333, 13.473455, 13.630463, 13.696689 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.32, "volume": 1853611, "typical_volume": 5275955.85, "trend": 13.816044, "fair_value": 13.813816, "relative_strength": -16.643838, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.80736, "energy": 44.388379, "activity_lines": [ 13.292, 13.409091, 13.602873, 13.663333 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.56, "volume": 1669651, "typical_volume": 5046609.1, "trend": 13.780496, "fair_value": 13.847449, "relative_strength": -16.121469, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.172772, "energy": 38.428197, "activity_lines": [ 13.336, 13.407273, 13.5981, 13.646815 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }