{ "ticker": { "uuid": "48974f20-2f97-4a9d-a07f-22426facfa28", "symbol": "002771", "name": "Beijing Transtrue Technology Inc.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.901, "architecture_energy": 66.216, "architecture_maturity": 23.718, "architecture_confidence": 89.926, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.65, "rotation_up": 13.0, "upward_expansion": 14.43, "deceleration": 38.79, "rotation_down": 66.92, "downward_expansion": 87.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.099333, 12.588909, 13.678, 14.280559 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 12.74, "trend_reference": 14.926333, "distance_from_trend": -0.146475, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.69721, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.280113, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.359081, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.165684, "excess_performance": -0.173084, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.146475, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054817, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.280113, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.1487, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.213591, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019451, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.165684, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.74896, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 39301620, "relative_activity": 0.584133, "balance": 0.74896, "dry_up": 0.64271, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.13537, "annualized_volatility": 0.63419, "from_high_reference": -0.381553, "from_low_reference": 0.220307 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.926333, "fair_value_reference": 17.69721, "structural_low": 10.44, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.027615, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.018034, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.274791, "worst_return": -0.142033, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.109818, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.072779, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.361533, "worst_return": -0.102077, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.002622, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.032591, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.308249, "worst_return": -0.206933, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }