{ "ticker": { "uuid": "48a2b970-3f25-415e-8318-366005e1bb9e", "symbol": "EDGU", "name": "3EDGE DYNAMIC US EQUITY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 93.044, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.18, "architecture_energy": 40.915, "architecture_maturity": 49.767, "architecture_confidence": 85.036, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.32, "rotation_up": 39.29, "upward_expansion": 65.32, "deceleration": 93.73, "rotation_down": 28.43, "downward_expansion": 14.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.529367, 31.497522, 31.220182, 30.644771 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 32.2447, "trend_reference": 29.986823, "distance_from_trend": 0.075296, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.202412, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.185362, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.000799, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.104928, "excess_performance": -0.020697, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.075296, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036424, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.185362, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025409, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.010008, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002587, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.104928, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.965182, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 154980, "relative_activity": 0.688186, "balance": 1.965182, "dry_up": 0.585978, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.026457, "annualized_volatility": 0.126172, "from_high_reference": -0.003625, "from_low_reference": 0.230611 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.986823, "fair_value_reference": 27.202412, "structural_low": 27.11, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": 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"fair_value": 27.149888, "relative_strength": -1.036247, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.578996, "energy": 29.185272, "activity_lines": [ 31.225007, 31.346715, 31.044377, 30.492152 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.2447, "volume": 154980, "typical_volume": 225200.85, "trend": 29.986823, "fair_value": 27.202412, "relative_strength": -1.000799, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.180352, "energy": 40.914774, "activity_lines": [ 31.529367, 31.497522, 31.220182, 30.644771 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }