{ "ticker": { "uuid": "48a36643-c124-4630-a7f1-99aee8822ab2", "symbol": "CLEMO", "name": "Clean Motion AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.672, "architecture_energy": 39.573, "architecture_maturity": 17.53, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.2, "rotation_up": 22.32, "upward_expansion": 8.39, "deceleration": 41.77, "rotation_down": 42.76, "downward_expansion": 79.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.097193, 0.097658, 0.108508, 0.111218 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.0982, "trend_reference": 0.114383, "distance_from_trend": -0.141483, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.581267, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.831059, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -49.798982, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.162116, "excess_performance": -0.22361, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.141483, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.123902, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.831059, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.120147, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.49799, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095773, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.162116, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.451583, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2094488, "relative_activity": 0.151737, "balance": 0.451583, "dry_up": 0.213755, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.226179, "annualized_volatility": 1.295078, "from_high_reference": -0.817472, "from_low_reference": 0.631229 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.114383, "fair_value_reference": 0.581267, "structural_low": 0.0602, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.057029, "positive_rate": 0.413793, "directional_follow_through": 0.586207, "median_excess_return": -0.064398, "regime_survival": 0.827586, "best_return": 0.796209, "worst_return": -0.404517, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.079997, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.092903, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.767327, "worst_return": -0.498152, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.107458, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.065796, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 1.240099, "worst_return": -0.663333, "sufficient": true }, { 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balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.356637, "energy": 27.257744, "activity_lines": [ 0.09884, 0.101365, 0.115167, 0.116149 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.099, "volume": 5020945, "typical_volume": 14280258.65, "trend": 0.117067, "fair_value": 0.59669, "relative_strength": -53.682716, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.469556, "energy": 21.68623, "activity_lines": [ 0.099893, 0.099138, 0.113575, 0.114905 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.1015, "volume": 2640734, "typical_volume": 14092166.6, "trend": 0.116117, "fair_value": 0.591507, "relative_strength": -51.010106, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.349351, "energy": 24.891394, "activity_lines": [ 0.10066, 0.099011, 0.112292, 0.113901 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0914, "volume": 2046033, "typical_volume": 13998241.55, "trend": 0.115063, "fair_value": 0.586279, "relative_strength": -54.455225, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.735529, "energy": 38.681254, "activity_lines": [ 0.09744, 0.097493, 0.110059, 0.112306 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0982, "volume": 2094488, "typical_volume": 13803449.35, "trend": 0.114383, "fair_value": 0.581267, "relative_strength": -49.798982, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.67154, "energy": 39.573262, "activity_lines": [ 0.097193, 0.097658, 0.108508, 0.111218 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }