{ "ticker": { "uuid": "48a7f873-c037-4f7b-ae1d-80f5ea0cb17d", "symbol": "AUTOAXLES", "name": "Automotive Axles Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 49.02, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -3.869, "architecture_energy": 7.278, "architecture_maturity": 12.669, "architecture_confidence": 78.871, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.18, "rotation_up": 28.91, "upward_expansion": 31.24, "deceleration": 39.09, "rotation_down": 23.32, "downward_expansion": 41.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 1789.824061, 1779.483838, 1769.585775, 1779.31659 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1827.800049, "trend_reference": 1811.822338, "distance_from_trend": 0.008819, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1852.962026, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.013579, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.868833, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.04911, "excess_performance": -0.005401, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.008819, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005542, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.013579, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010018, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.028688, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033022, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.04911, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.82956, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 217320, "relative_activity": 4.497698, "balance": 2.82956, "dry_up": 1.681152, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05614, "annualized_volatility": 0.322295, "from_high_reference": -0.135792, "from_low_reference": 0.186729 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1811.822338, "fair_value_reference": 1852.962026, "structural_low": 1540.199951, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.008722, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.000977, "regime_survival": 0.466667, "best_return": 0.155454, "worst_return": -0.062841, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.003832, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.037484, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.121893, "worst_return": -0.13149, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.052721, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.044718, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.278449, "worst_return": -0.189297, 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"close": 1770.187366, "volume": 33385, "typical_volume": 40801.2, "trend": 1814.649003, "fair_value": 1854.567974, "relative_strength": 0.560193, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.389782, "energy": 8.195436, "activity_lines": [ 1770.875378, 1766.721464, 1762.177057, 1778.468136 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1827.800049, "volume": 217320, "typical_volume": 48318.05, "trend": 1811.822338, "fair_value": 1852.962026, "relative_strength": 2.868833, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -3.868974, "energy": 7.277977, "activity_lines": [ 1789.824061, 1779.483838, 1769.585775, 1779.31659 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }