{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "48a962cc-62d7-4ece-95bb-0d1be71247eb",
    "symbol": "LTAM",
    "name": "iShares MSCI EM Latin America UCITS ETF USD (Dist)",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 71.689,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 39.946,
    "architecture_energy": 28.409,
    "architecture_maturity": 8.801,
    "architecture_confidence": 55.245,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 51.35,
        "rotation_up": 57.96,
        "upward_expansion": 66.99,
        "deceleration": 53.87,
        "rotation_down": 8.51,
        "downward_expansion": 7.99
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        18.313867,
        18.158219,
        18.118695,
        18.14183
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 18.214001,
    "trend_reference": 18.11811,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.005293,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 14.306305,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.273145,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.154657,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.002481,
    "excess_performance": -0.168411,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005293,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045954,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.273145,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.07226,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.061547,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.130939,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002481,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.001557,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 140288,
      "relative_activity": 1.292988,
      "balance": 1.001557,
      "dry_up": 1.113517,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.029302,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.193016,
      "from_high_reference": -0.071597,
      "from_low_reference": 0.39298
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 18.11811,
      "fair_value_reference": 14.306305,
      "structural_low": 16.663345,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.013542,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": -0.018704,
        "regime_survival": 0.363636,
        "best_return": 0.155911,
        "worst_return": -0.088463,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.051988,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00387,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.272069,
        "worst_return": -0.062484,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.045553,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.053789,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.140397,
        "worst_return": -0.088543,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.163462,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011429,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.192264,
        "worst_return": -0.06448,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-11-10",
        "end": "2023-12-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.050648,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-08",
        "end": "2024-02-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.022494,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-02-09",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -2.9e-05,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.056394,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.012075,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.071864,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.088463,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0556,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
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        "return": 0.046816,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.315775,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.093788,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.088325,
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.011552,
        "active": true
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    ],
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -5.423323,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 133169.75,
        "trend": 17.788024,
        "fair_value": 14.184372,
        "relative_strength": -3.660169,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 16.548841,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 18.006001,
        "volume": 69458,
        "typical_volume": 121859.55,
        "trend": 17.87153,
        "fair_value": 14.212815,
        "relative_strength": -3.432662,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 17.938803,
        "energy": 14.20612,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.998001,
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          18.042341,
          18.059078
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 18.436001,
        "volume": 157592,
        "typical_volume": 117299.45,
        "trend": 17.967474,
        "fair_value": 14.242331,
        "relative_strength": -1.200339,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.57437,
        "energy": 25.069074,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.163067,
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          18.095495
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 18.532,
        "volume": 115924,
        "typical_volume": 111200.0,
        "trend": 18.060344,
        "fair_value": 14.274677,
        "relative_strength": -1.578786,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.206363,
        "energy": 31.069536,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.313601,
          18.108873,
          18.114546,
          18.131916
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 18.214001,
        "volume": 140288,
        "typical_volume": 108499.05,
        "trend": 18.11811,
        "fair_value": 14.306305,
        "relative_strength": -6.154657,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.94559,
        "energy": 28.408907,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.313867,
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          18.14183
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}