{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "48c81e2f-a98d-4b03-8b0a-9f1416b8df9a",
    "symbol": "42L",
    "name": "Taka Jewellery Holdings Limited",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 60.443,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -0.18,
    "architecture_energy": 5.669,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.29,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.703,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 65.34,
        "rotation_up": 35.98,
        "upward_expansion": 27.32,
        "deceleration": 43.58,
        "rotation_down": 24.35,
        "downward_expansion": 24.99
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.196067,
        0.194891,
        0.196843,
        0.197759
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.198,
    "trend_reference": 0.195633,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.012097,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.110295,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.795181,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -1.807232,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.005076,
    "excess_performance": -0.149759,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012097,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.125338,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.795181,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.250534,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018072,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.285799,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005076,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.451136,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 384000,
      "relative_activity": 0.379933,
      "balance": 0.451136,
      "dry_up": 0.327568,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.047786,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.254297,
      "from_high_reference": -0.13913,
      "from_low_reference": 0.696818
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.195633,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.110295,
      "structural_low": 0.18,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.015747,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.022645,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.544118,
        "worst_return": -0.090912,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016422,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.433824,
        "worst_return": -0.090912,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.087663,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.121851,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.411765,
        "worst_return": -0.045456,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.125179,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.124009,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.174603,
        "worst_return": 0.075755,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.014291,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.112675,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.063289,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.025651,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.108982,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.068176,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.505373,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.085692,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.110294,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.065217,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.056701,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.02439,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.020101,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 0.078772,
        "volume": 125300,
        "typical_volume": 107130.0,
        "trend": 0.0732,
        "fair_value": 0.062669,
        "relative_strength": 16.835806,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1318645.0,
        "trend": 0.188967,
        "fair_value": 0.10812,
        "relative_strength": -0.346929,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 3.222979,
        "energy": 19.540393,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.1916,
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          0.197171,
          0.196645
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.198,
        "volume": 446000,
        "typical_volume": 1090945.0,
        "trend": 0.1914,
        "fair_value": 0.108866,
        "relative_strength": 0.882525,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 0.270316,
        "energy": 13.890363,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.193333,
          0.194655,
          0.197148,
          0.197228
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.195,
        "volume": 482100,
        "typical_volume": 1017835.0,
        "trend": 0.193367,
        "fair_value": 0.109562,
        "relative_strength": -1.707602,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 3.129963,
        "energy": 5.427421,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.194133,
          0.194455,
          0.196843,
          0.19746
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.198,
        "volume": 384000,
        "typical_volume": 1010705.0,
        "trend": 0.195633,
        "fair_value": 0.110295,
        "relative_strength": -1.807232,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -0.180327,
        "energy": 5.669126,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.196067,
          0.194891,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}