{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "48ceb6a3-739a-4811-b00a-75f1a2bd9e2b",
    "symbol": "XGDD",
    "name": "Xtrackers Stoxx Global Select Dividend 100 Swap UCITS ETF 1D",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 93.253,
    "architecture_energy": 97.434,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.316,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.105,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.84,
        "rotation_up": 87.48,
        "upward_expansion": 97.67,
        "deceleration": 41.83,
        "rotation_down": 8.07,
        "downward_expansion": 22.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        44.719667,
        43.893091,
        43.204483,
        42.580995
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 45.584999,
    "trend_reference": 41.765372,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.091454,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 31.658865,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.439881,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 6.915765,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.113818,
    "excess_performance": 0.062583,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091454,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052283,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.439881,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034492,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069158,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01273,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.113818,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.9072,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 22021,
      "relative_activity": 4.350128,
      "balance": 3.9072,
      "dry_up": 2.017868,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.013502,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.113194,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000329,
      "from_low_reference": 0.320738
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 41.765372,
      "fair_value_reference": 31.658865,
      "structural_low": 38.49065,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": 0.004327,
        "positive_rate": 0.612903,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.612903,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000721,
        "regime_survival": 0.709677,
        "best_return": 0.06254,
        "worst_return": -0.060281,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
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        "worst_return": -0.046328,
        "sufficient": true
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "relative_strength": 6.991039,
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 3.667583,
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        "direction": 48.730837,
        "energy": 40.863608,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 6899.75,
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        "relative_strength": 2.611618,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 6498.6,
        "trend": 40.884968,
        "fair_value": 31.145267,
        "relative_strength": 5.2384,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.983837,
        "energy": 44.153848,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.557,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 43.875,
        "volume": 636,
        "typical_volume": 5783.05,
        "trend": 41.095131,
        "fair_value": 31.268668,
        "relative_strength": 6.462752,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.516145,
        "energy": 70.127889,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.988334,
          42.80052,
          42.379703,
          41.887864
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 44.060001,
        "volume": 6509,
        "typical_volume": 5797.0,
        "trend": 41.298719,
        "fair_value": 31.39028,
        "relative_strength": 5.378348,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.009359,
        "energy": 91.182095,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.428667,
          43.052273,
          42.597541,
          42.079146
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 45.02,
        "volume": 11693,
        "typical_volume": 4454.25,
        "trend": 41.527611,
        "fair_value": 31.521958,
        "relative_strength": 6.114269,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.974611,
        "energy": 96.312357,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.075334,
          43.441455,
          42.887317,
          42.319228
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 45.584999,
        "volume": 22021,
        "typical_volume": 5062.15,
        "trend": 41.765372,
        "fair_value": 31.658865,
        "relative_strength": 6.915765,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.252745,
        "energy": 97.434136,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.719667,
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          43.204483,
          42.580995
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}