{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "48d10977-735c-4397-8e47-821229412797",
    "symbol": "PSCC",
    "name": "INVESCO S&P SMALLCAP CONSUMER STAPLES ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 75.681,
    "architecture_energy": 64.347,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.973,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.416,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.87,
        "rotation_up": 74.44,
        "upward_expansion": 88.44,
        "deceleration": 52.21,
        "rotation_down": 16.1,
        "downward_expansion": 10.44
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        34.540726
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 37.2302,
    "trend_reference": 33.949775,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.096626,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 34.439772,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.081023,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.13286,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.084018,
    "excess_performance": -0.103436,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096626,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046179,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081023,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.124978,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021329,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.152744,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084018,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.05298,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 147034,
      "relative_activity": 3.71812,
      "balance": 2.05298,
      "dry_up": 1.440021,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.031975,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.177917,
      "from_high_reference": -0.020773,
      "from_low_reference": 0.225953
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 34.439772,
      "structural_low": 30.732173,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.017785,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020328,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.094986,
        "worst_return": -0.112768,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.069149,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 38376.2,
        "trend": 33.38428,
        "fair_value": 34.415629,
        "relative_strength": -0.894471,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 76.039899,
        "energy": 88.232833,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 36.3897,
        "volume": 27888,
        "typical_volume": 37040.95,
        "trend": 33.548081,
        "fair_value": 34.421188,
        "relative_strength": 0.494622,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.508705,
        "energy": 80.126168,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 36.8987,
        "volume": 34129,
        "typical_volume": 36519.9,
        "trend": 33.754797,
        "fair_value": 34.427853,
        "relative_strength": 1.632107,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.15161,
        "energy": 68.394247,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.566113,
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          34.316507
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 37.2302,
        "volume": 147034,
        "typical_volume": 39545.25,
        "trend": 33.949775,
        "fair_value": 34.439772,
        "relative_strength": -2.13286,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.681099,
        "energy": 64.346797,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}