{ "ticker": { "uuid": "48d1ee47-9eed-4043-9710-7226223d417e", "symbol": "DB43", "name": "Xtrackers II - EUR Cash Swap UCITS ETF", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.274, "architecture_energy": 70.592, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 64.074, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 1.04, "rotation_up": 75.43, "upward_expansion": 90.0, "deceleration": 62.38, "rotation_down": 17.91, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 149.790667, 149.690182, 149.492191, 149.301936 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 149.860001, "trend_reference": 149.028, "distance_from_trend": 0.005583, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 144.645129, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.036053, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.996526, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.009974, "excess_performance": -0.164272, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.005583, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003803, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.036053, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002252, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.179965, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030763, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.009974, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 240, "relative_activity": 3.013183, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 3.83553, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.001201, "annualized_volatility": 0.001061, "from_high_reference": -0.00412, "from_low_reference": 0.033232 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 149.028, "fair_value_reference": 144.645129, "structural_low": 147.820007, "invalidation": 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76.834217, "energy": 70.382402, "activity_lines": [ 149.305335, 149.212365, 149.028763, 148.843829 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 149.460007, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 90.75, "trend": 148.631334, "fair_value": 144.08577, "relative_strength": -20.362005, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.688648, "energy": 79.453421, "activity_lines": [ 149.369337, 149.272366, 149.086477, 148.900947 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 149.479996, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 90.75, "trend": 148.686667, "fair_value": 144.165898, "relative_strength": -18.303912, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.815143, "energy": 91.838473, "activity_lines": [ 149.420001, 149.32582, 149.140667, 148.9557 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 149.580002, "volume": 166, "typical_volume": 42.3, "trend": 148.743334, "fair_value": 144.246411, "relative_strength": -19.661117, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.386752, "energy": 93.283327, "activity_lines": [ 149.486668, 149.387274, 149.199144, 149.013334 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 149.639999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 39.55, "trend": 148.8, "fair_value": 144.326667, "relative_strength": -18.08824, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.892711, "energy": 93.26442, "activity_lines": [ 149.550667, 149.449092, 149.257906, 149.071184 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 149.679993, "volume": 128, "typical_volume": 45.95, "trend": 148.856667, "fair_value": 144.406667, "relative_strength": -15.993889, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.163187, "energy": 91.585094, "activity_lines": [ 149.607998, 149.507272, 149.315048, 149.127957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 149.759995, "volume": 814, "typical_volume": 86.65, "trend": 148.915334, "fair_value": 144.486411, "relative_strength": -16.624102, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.050312, "energy": 80.299159, "activity_lines": [ 149.671996, 149.569453, 149.374476, 149.186236 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 149.820007, "volume": 40, "typical_volume": 87.25, "trend": 148.971334, "fair_value": 144.565898, "relative_strength": -16.050763, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.207208, "energy": 78.846427, "activity_lines": [ 149.736, 149.631636, 149.434191, 149.244602 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 149.860001, "volume": 240, "typical_volume": 79.65, "trend": 149.028, "fair_value": 144.645129, "relative_strength": -17.996526, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.274271, "energy": 70.591855, "activity_lines": [ 149.790667, 149.690182, 149.492191, 149.301936 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }