{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "48ec8c60-67d9-43cd-997b-342923c1996a",
    "symbol": "INFU",
    "name": "Amundi US Inflation Expectations 10Y UCITS ETF Acc",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 66.26,
    "architecture_energy": 74.694,
    "architecture_maturity": 6.982,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.042,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.46,
        "rotation_up": 72.08,
        "upward_expansion": 92.12,
        "deceleration": 45.86,
        "rotation_down": 14.94,
        "downward_expansion": 16.46
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        140.87767,
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        140.362239,
        139.851075
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 140.755005,
    "trend_reference": 139.048666,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.012272,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 131.904455,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.067098,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -7.936973,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.025537,
    "excess_performance": -0.057346,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012272,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010982,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067098,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009204,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.07937,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.071213,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025537,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.296053,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.296053,
      "dry_up": 0.033003,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.003642,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.029073,
      "from_high_reference": -0.007089,
      "from_low_reference": 0.040126
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 131.904455,
      "structural_low": 136.240005,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 45,
        "median_return": 0.003018,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006448,
        "regime_survival": 0.822222,
        "best_return": 0.044128,
        "worst_return": -0.025364,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 139.919998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 584.55,
        "trend": 136.879999,
        "fair_value": 130.15814,
        "relative_strength": -1.366335,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.214488,
        "energy": 90.193059,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 3668,
        "typical_volume": 767.95,
        "trend": 137.020666,
        "fair_value": 130.293365,
        "relative_strength": -0.8157,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.366926,
        "energy": 93.93842,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 768.9,
        "trend": 137.215666,
        "fair_value": 130.43173,
        "relative_strength": -0.891217,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 94.310173,
        "energy": 97.131849,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 766.65,
        "trend": 137.374833,
        "fair_value": 130.56173,
        "relative_strength": -3.361184,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 88.841469,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 140.634995,
        "volume": 48,
        "typical_volume": 759.8,
        "trend": 137.538166,
        "fair_value": 130.696057,
        "relative_strength": -3.541441,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 68.158591,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 140.675003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 758.8,
        "trend": 137.700499,
        "fair_value": 130.826923,
        "relative_strength": -2.342954,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.649052,
        "energy": 68.498271,
        "activity_lines": [
          140.72,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 140.059998,
        "volume": 48,
        "typical_volume": 760.95,
        "trend": 137.840166,
        "fair_value": 130.951666,
        "relative_strength": -4.899037,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "relative_strength": -5.48333,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 649.55,
        "trend": 138.099333,
        "fair_value": 131.193301,
        "relative_strength": -8.056852,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.669748,
        "energy": 36.724027,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 140.289993,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 649.05,
        "trend": 138.237999,
        "fair_value": 131.313557,
        "relative_strength": -8.799976,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 34.570708,
        "activity_lines": [
          139.891665,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 140.389999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 644.05,
        "trend": 138.378833,
        "fair_value": 131.434198,
        "relative_strength": -7.276589,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.218124,
        "energy": 37.235351,
        "activity_lines": [
          140.024998,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 140.619995,
        "volume": 26,
        "typical_volume": 644.85,
        "trend": 138.542666,
        "fair_value": 131.549583,
        "relative_strength": -7.569167,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.503998,
        "energy": 52.713238,
        "activity_lines": [
          140.253997,
          140.226998,
          139.995856,
          139.410676
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 141.160004,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 644.85,
        "trend": 138.722666,
        "fair_value": 131.669006,
        "relative_strength": -6.846713,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.639752,
        "energy": 68.423412,
        "activity_lines": [
          140.625665,
          140.372453,
          140.150856,
          139.579537
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 141.070007,
        "volume": 46,
        "typical_volume": 593.7,
        "trend": 138.8935,
        "fair_value": 131.788108,
        "relative_strength": -6.749554,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.89606,
        "energy": 77.956996,
        "activity_lines": [
          140.861335,
          140.505273,
          140.277452,
          139.730978
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 140.755005,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 545.4,
        "trend": 139.048666,
        "fair_value": 131.904455,
        "relative_strength": -7.936973,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.260226,
        "energy": 74.694201,
        "activity_lines": [
          140.87767,
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          139.851075
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}