{ "ticker": { "uuid": "48f9cf1c-1d0f-481f-93f2-9610e11b3e62", "symbol": "FOXX", "name": "Foxx Development Holdings Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.247, "architecture_energy": 46.905, "architecture_maturity": 36.0, "architecture_confidence": 88.72, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.95, "rotation_up": 18.24, "upward_expansion": 7.93, "deceleration": 44.44, "rotation_down": 58.87, "downward_expansion": 83.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.646667, 2.876727, 3.413648, 3.783609 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2.6, "trend_reference": 4.16629, "distance_from_trend": -0.375944, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.062345, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.486404, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -48.158333, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.466119, "excess_performance": -0.653573, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.375944, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065077, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.486404, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.432483, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.481583, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.326527, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.466119, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 39.550145, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16536, "relative_activity": 0.003362, "balance": 39.550145, "dry_up": 0.009202, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.485444, "annualized_volatility": 1.462822, "from_high_reference": -0.69555, "from_low_reference": 0.520468 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.16629, "fair_value_reference": 5.062345, "structural_low": 2.16, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.09, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.029883, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.09, "worst_return": -0.09, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.009572, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.146552, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.051205, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.133333, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-09-27", "close": 10.9, "volume": 12100, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, 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4.22029, "fair_value": 5.08773, "relative_strength": -45.572507, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.694538, "energy": 52.246058, "activity_lines": [ 2.741333, 2.977182, 3.55069, 3.888144 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.6, "volume": 16536, "typical_volume": 4918303.9, "trend": 4.16629, "fair_value": 5.062345, "relative_strength": -48.158333, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.247049, "energy": 46.905257, "activity_lines": [ 2.646667, 2.876727, 3.413648, 3.783609 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }