{ "ticker": { "uuid": "490f143f-4c7a-47cb-912b-7b214a862bd3", "symbol": "UBUJ", "name": "UBS Core MSCI USA hEUR UCITS ETF EUR acc", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 85.306, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.254, "architecture_energy": 59.91, "architecture_maturity": 63.216, "architecture_confidence": 69.464, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.22, "rotation_up": 52.83, "upward_expansion": 80.1, "deceleration": 68.73, "rotation_down": 27.59, "downward_expansion": 9.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 57.2208, 56.945673, 56.444105, 55.397492 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 58.722, "trend_reference": 54.2461, "distance_from_trend": 0.082511, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 45.404711, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.293302, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.480095, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.118174, "excess_performance": 0.053534, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.082511, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030094, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.293302, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009115, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.024801, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067116, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.118174, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.319, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15309, "relative_activity": 0.705229, "balance": 1.319, "dry_up": 1.030825, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018604, "annualized_volatility": 0.132566, "from_high_reference": -0.003394, "from_low_reference": 0.212763 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 54.2461, "fair_value_reference": 45.404711, "structural_low": 48.419998, "invalidation": "A 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"Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.285841, "energy": 59.898035, "activity_lines": [ 56.739334, 56.703273, 55.499981, 54.587544 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 56.625999, "volume": 34887, "typical_volume": 23204.1, "trend": 53.8037, "fair_value": 44.982468, "relative_strength": 5.27849, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.174836, "energy": 56.418519, "activity_lines": [ 56.742934, 56.704618, 55.733576, 54.779116 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 56.383999, "volume": 11390, "typical_volume": 21650.3, "trend": 53.926633, "fair_value": 45.115199, "relative_strength": 3.505441, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.777638, "energy": 50.237207, "activity_lines": [ 56.648267, 56.648691, 55.923419, 54.945587 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 56.268002, "volume": 27922, "typical_volume": 22136.95, "trend": 54.058833, "fair_value": 45.25016, "relative_strength": 1.023256, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.415065, "energy": 41.868417, "activity_lines": [ 56.540001, 56.569491, 56.080509, 55.096643 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 58.722, "volume": 15309, "typical_volume": 21707.85, "trend": 54.2461, "fair_value": 45.404711, "relative_strength": 2.480095, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.253848, "energy": 59.909862, "activity_lines": [ 57.2208, 56.945673, 56.444105, 55.397492 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }