{ "ticker": { "uuid": "49115504-3427-402f-b418-6aee2642b82a", "symbol": "MCEU", "name": "Amundi Index Solutions - Amundi MSCI Europe Momentum Factor UCITS ETF-C", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 60.717, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.929, "architecture_energy": 40.59, "architecture_maturity": 59.117, "architecture_confidence": 57.89, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.04, "rotation_up": 46.33, "upward_expansion": 74.25, "deceleration": 66.28, "rotation_down": 26.99, "downward_expansion": 9.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 151.025333, 150.938544, 149.64438, 147.91316 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 152.199997, "trend_reference": 146.354666, "distance_from_trend": 0.039939, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 117.227336, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.298332, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.2178, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.045617, "excess_performance": -0.007694, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.039939, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036545, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.298332, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000917, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.012178, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053481, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.045617, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.400489, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 949, "relative_activity": 0.212833, "balance": 0.400489, "dry_up": 0.226513, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.02059, "annualized_volatility": 0.181893, "from_high_reference": -0.009244, "from_low_reference": 0.204304 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 146.354666, "fair_value_reference": 117.227336, "structural_low": 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5764.85, "trend": 145.280666, "fair_value": 115.980349, "relative_strength": 3.860282, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.420041, "energy": 44.577434, "activity_lines": [ 150.395999, 150.176363, 148.15619, 146.809634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 151.360001, "volume": 561, "typical_volume": 4795.8, "trend": 145.734, "fair_value": 116.386631, "relative_strength": 4.997372, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.315655, "energy": 45.242223, "activity_lines": [ 150.632, 150.508727, 148.70819, 147.201849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 150.639999, "volume": 1297, "typical_volume": 4550.65, "trend": 146.080666, "fair_value": 116.803362, "relative_strength": 2.688581, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.947169, "energy": 31.248951, "activity_lines": [ 150.590667, 150.591999, 149.131809, 147.518365 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 152.199997, "volume": 949, "typical_volume": 4458.9, "trend": 146.354666, "fair_value": 117.227336, "relative_strength": 1.2178, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.928817, "energy": 40.590398, "activity_lines": [ 151.025333, 150.938544, 149.64438, 147.91316 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }