{ "ticker": { "uuid": "491b3d25-a22c-43f1-ba9a-dfb6bb9814b8", "symbol": "300700", "name": "Changsha DIALINE New Material Sci.&Tech. Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -20.234, "architecture_energy": 34.38, "architecture_maturity": 67.531, "architecture_confidence": 51.568, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.18, "rotation_up": 14.06, "upward_expansion": 16.62, "deceleration": 72.83, "rotation_down": 64.47, "downward_expansion": 41.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.09, 17.988727, 18.634667, 17.845333 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 18.049999, "trend_reference": 16.687667, "distance_from_trend": 0.081637, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.197031, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.612034, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 19.374383, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.260475, "excess_performance": 0.253075, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.081637, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.173562, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.612034, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104175, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.193744, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009704, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.260475, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.901084, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 79036652, "relative_activity": 1.60253, "balance": 0.901084, "dry_up": 1.459555, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.166333, "annualized_volatility": 0.686582, "from_high_reference": -0.278, "from_low_reference": 0.699623 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.687667, "fair_value_reference": 11.197031, "structural_low": 12.18, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.038453, "positive_rate": 0.642857, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": 0.040024, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.598469, "worst_return": -0.054098, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.113822, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.132339, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.768922, "worst_return": -0.066555, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.150493, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.045829, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.654817, "worst_return": -0.258389, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.694509, "energy": 16.796487, "activity_lines": [ 19.680667, 20.511818, 19.325524, 18.047032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.18, "volume": 76505294, "typical_volume": 46100866.15, "trend": 16.455, "fair_value": 11.178783, "relative_strength": -1.987711, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -5.207648, "energy": 23.787312, "activity_lines": [ 17.428, 19.341818, 18.977667, 17.90357 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.0, "volume": 66790414, "typical_volume": 47324670.8, "trend": 16.497667, "fair_value": 11.172515, "relative_strength": -1.922828, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.960666, "energy": 42.416265, "activity_lines": [ 15.806667, 18.237818, 18.613191, 17.745183 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.049999, "volume": 79036652, "typical_volume": 49319907.1, "trend": 16.687667, "fair_value": 11.197031, "relative_strength": 19.374383, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.234172, "energy": 34.380018, "activity_lines": [ 16.09, 17.988727, 18.634667, 17.845333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }