{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4925b2a4-6c73-410a-8c3e-c864a43efd2d", "symbol": "5522", "name": "Farglory Land Development Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 71.173, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -24.342, "architecture_energy": 25.713, "architecture_maturity": 9.405, "architecture_confidence": 61.227, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.38, "rotation_up": 20.64, "upward_expansion": 18.97, "deceleration": 54.41, "rotation_down": 55.46, "downward_expansion": 43.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 64.099999, 64.923635, 65.765787, 65.542762 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 62.099998, "trend_reference": 64.860769, "distance_from_trend": -0.042565, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 60.328538, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.029364, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.059358, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.025534, "excess_performance": -0.415838, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.042565, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029737, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.029364, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077682, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.280594, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011093, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.025534, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.788721, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5897523, "relative_activity": 0.992722, "balance": 0.788721, "dry_up": 0.904814, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067604, "annualized_volatility": 0.246282, "from_high_reference": -0.198153, "from_low_reference": 0.271739 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 64.860769, "fair_value_reference": 60.328538, "structural_low": 58.615387, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.003031, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.027243, "regime_survival": 0.55, "best_return": 0.106858, "worst_return": -0.115756, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.011484, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.067297, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.226821, "worst_return": -0.168, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.012595, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.103357, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.157887, "worst_return": -0.123598, "sufficient": 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"regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.490918, "energy": 6.83335, "activity_lines": [ 65.733334, 66.351748, 66.354029, 65.811067 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 64.099998, "volume": 5565237, "typical_volume": 5925613.7, "trend": 65.107692, "fair_value": 60.240836, "relative_strength": -23.967299, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.196334, "energy": 5.789329, "activity_lines": [ 65.246666, 65.792167, 66.151721, 65.736807 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 62.099998, "volume": 5897523, "typical_volume": 5940758.15, "trend": 64.860769, "fair_value": 60.328538, "relative_strength": -28.059358, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.341797, "energy": 25.713288, "activity_lines": [ 64.099999, 64.923635, 65.765787, 65.542762 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }