{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4929c076-1d0f-4575-abde-aefdcd0e7bf5", "symbol": "000960", "name": "Yunnan Tin Company Limited", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -6.464, "architecture_energy": 17.577, "architecture_maturity": 53.21, "architecture_confidence": 59.563, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 68.07, "rotation_up": 20.46, "upward_expansion": 10.18, "deceleration": 55.3, "rotation_down": 51.54, "downward_expansion": 44.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.149333, 36.333273, 36.91695, 36.779681 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 40.34, "trend_reference": 36.837179, "distance_from_trend": 0.095089, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.90477, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.02665, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 27.778341, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.020131, "excess_performance": 0.012732, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.095089, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.121914, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.02665, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.211997, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.277783, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051189, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.020131, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.166998, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 360159840, "relative_activity": 1.298433, "balance": 1.166998, "dry_up": 1.097423, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.129438, "annualized_volatility": 0.712101, "from_high_reference": -0.16759, "from_low_reference": 1.295329 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.837179, "fair_value_reference": 19.90477, "structural_low": 27.5, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.022441, "positive_rate": 0.535714, "directional_follow_through": 0.535714, "median_excess_return": 0.008465, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.510615, "worst_return": -0.267358, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.028908, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.019806, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.593317, "worst_return": -0.194607, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.096805, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.137298, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.43792, "worst_return": -0.320764, "sufficient": 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"close": 30.01, "volume": 286434387, "typical_volume": 278040988.0, "trend": 36.090863, "fair_value": 19.528802, "relative_strength": 1.697021, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.181037, "energy": 7.561019, "activity_lines": [ 36.279334, 37.625092, 37.249722, 36.99699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 30.889999, "volume": 299220344, "typical_volume": 269954080.2, "trend": 36.194235, "fair_value": 19.626849, "relative_strength": 3.493859, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.882844, "energy": 28.951908, "activity_lines": [ 33.825333, 36.335273, 36.703885, 36.661451 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.099998, "volume": 271800158, "typical_volume": 270850460.8, "trend": 36.413193, "fair_value": 19.744921, "relative_strength": 15.048775, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.752527, "energy": 32.464551, "activity_lines": [ 33.164666, 35.731455, 36.50724, 36.526339 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 40.34, "volume": 360159840, "typical_volume": 277380335.6, "trend": 36.837179, "fair_value": 19.90477, "relative_strength": 27.778341, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.463648, "energy": 17.577176, "activity_lines": [ 35.149333, 36.333273, 36.91695, 36.779681 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }