{ "ticker": { "uuid": "492df011-aa63-423a-a4d9-72e3281cf139", "symbol": "002177", "name": "Guangzhou Kingteller Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.697, "architecture_energy": 58.415, "architecture_maturity": 74.49, "architecture_confidence": 90.068, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.71, "rotation_up": 26.97, "upward_expansion": 10.54, "deceleration": 60.82, "rotation_down": 53.82, "downward_expansion": 83.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.528, 5.570909, 6.165857, 6.662409 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.82, "trend_reference": 7.287333, "distance_from_trend": -0.201354, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.398571, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.078063, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.728672, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.221925, "excess_performance": -0.229325, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.201354, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060861, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.078063, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.414216, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.237287, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092007, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.221925, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.283329, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 234158688, "relative_activity": 1.20627, "balance": 1.283329, "dry_up": 0.911756, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.100846, "annualized_volatility": 0.510744, "from_high_reference": -0.440081, "from_low_reference": 0.173387 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.287333, "fair_value_reference": 5.398571, "structural_low": 4.96, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.024412, "positive_rate": 0.411765, "directional_follow_through": 0.588235, "median_excess_return": -0.008719, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.412272, "worst_return": -0.196721, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.033505, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.085447, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.417124, "worst_return": -0.114264, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.033757, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.143139, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.602454, "worst_return": -0.074751, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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5.403333, 5.835636, 6.558905, 7.029032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.14, "volume": 163576639, "typical_volume": 245431152.0, "trend": 7.451333, "fair_value": 5.376614, "relative_strength": -30.857109, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.999263, "energy": 89.153701, "activity_lines": [ 5.259333, 5.624182, 6.37081, 6.875849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.73, "volume": 197589924, "typical_volume": 212390926.75, "trend": 7.407, "fair_value": 5.387209, "relative_strength": -21.346617, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.127796, "energy": 65.733872, "activity_lines": [ 5.38, 5.571091, 6.256095, 6.764796 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.82, "volume": 234158688, "typical_volume": 194118028.8, "trend": 7.287333, "fair_value": 5.398571, "relative_strength": -23.728672, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.697033, "energy": 58.414608, "activity_lines": [ 5.528, 5.570909, 6.165857, 6.662409 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }