{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "493085e5-2a20-4a3d-9d56-448b71f987fc",
    "symbol": "LLM",
    "name": "LOYALMETAL FPO [LLM]",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 77.639,
    "architecture_energy": 92.007,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.696,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.84,
        "rotation_up": 59.17,
        "upward_expansion": 95.33,
        "deceleration": 44.67,
        "rotation_down": 30.0,
        "downward_expansion": 22.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.437333,
        0.434636,
        0.421964,
        0.396511
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.44,
    "trend_reference": 0.367833,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.196194,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.27334,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.609718,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 20.507998,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.54386,
    "excess_performance": 0.480154,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.196194,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101847,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.609718,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015719,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.20508,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.317614,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.54386,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.151596,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1903555,
      "relative_activity": 0.654058,
      "balance": 4.151596,
      "dry_up": 0.700283,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.013986,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.595775,
      "from_high_reference": -0.011236,
      "from_low_reference": 1.25641
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.367833,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.27334,
      "structural_low": 0.255,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.028084,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.019546,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
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        "worst_return": -0.434211,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.473333,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.813333,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 2960810,
        "typical_volume": 2924294.0,
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        "fair_value": 0.273596,
        "relative_strength": 31.739156,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 74.26693,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 2986309.55,
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        "fair_value": 0.274333,
        "relative_strength": 28.873861,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.230755,
        "energy": 78.742722,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.435,
        "volume": 1131115,
        "typical_volume": 2934297.65,
        "trend": 0.364833,
        "fair_value": 0.27366,
        "relative_strength": 24.467584,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.29636,
        "energy": 88.476753,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.435667,
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          0.416893,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.44,
        "volume": 1903555,
        "typical_volume": 2910374.3,
        "trend": 0.367833,
        "fair_value": 0.27334,
        "relative_strength": 20.507998,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.638985,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}