{ "ticker": { "uuid": "493ac5ec-4717-4c70-9913-a598785ffb5e", "symbol": "JWEL", "name": "Jowell Global Ltd.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -77.81, "architecture_energy": 73.02, "architecture_maturity": 24.0, "architecture_confidence": 82.018, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.94, "rotation_up": 10.11, "upward_expansion": 15.27, "deceleration": 37.47, "rotation_down": 78.41, "downward_expansion": 93.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.781133, 1.946264, 2.127132, 2.198502 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 1.55, "trend_reference": 2.243353, "distance_from_trend": -0.30907, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.086346, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.257074, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -36.553376, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.251208, "excess_performance": -0.438661, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.30907, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020728, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.257074, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.438117, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.365534, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.355845, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.251208, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.654745, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 55178, "relative_activity": 2.669931, "balance": 0.654745, "dry_up": 0.909747, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.237881, "annualized_volatility": 0.618793, "from_high_reference": -0.483333, "from_low_reference": 0.054422 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.243353, "fair_value_reference": 2.086346, "structural_low": 1.47, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.051282, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.074228, "regime_survival": 0.851852, "best_return": 0.864865, "worst_return": -0.60438, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.243885, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.411622, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.310975, "worst_return": -0.832042, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.247133, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.45057, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.687881, "worst_return": -0.885875, "sufficient": true }, { 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"modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.261692, "energy": 41.732192, "activity_lines": [ 2.088333, 2.207091, 2.292563, 2.303009 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.79, "volume": 5038, "typical_volume": 22284.4, "trend": 2.278503, "fair_value": 2.102398, "relative_strength": -23.604859, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.149512, "energy": 66.097409, "activity_lines": [ 1.966333, 2.122818, 2.239158, 2.270525 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.8755, "volume": 8694, "typical_volume": 20333.9, "trend": 2.263353, "fair_value": 2.095294, "relative_strength": -19.847814, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.666282, "energy": 65.73817, "activity_lines": [ 1.9155, 2.061636, 2.197277, 2.244524 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.55, "volume": 55178, "typical_volume": 20666.45, "trend": 2.243353, "fair_value": 2.086346, "relative_strength": -36.553376, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.809567, "energy": 73.020082, "activity_lines": [ 1.781133, 1.946264, 2.127132, 2.198502 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }