{ "ticker": { "uuid": "493f2d92-08f2-4906-951d-7ccec62ca5bc", "symbol": "SSXU", "name": "DAY HAGAN SMART SECTOR INTERNATIONAL ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 75.655, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 16.735, "architecture_energy": 10.349, "architecture_maturity": 15.87, "architecture_confidence": 60.987, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 64.14, "rotation_up": 33.27, "upward_expansion": 22.84, "deceleration": 53.97, "rotation_down": 35.2, "downward_expansion": 34.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.67354, 35.58914, 35.710468, 35.662021 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 36.5157, "trend_reference": 35.681853, "distance_from_trend": 0.023369, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.757132, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.227124, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.220407, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.000186, "excess_performance": -0.125811, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.023369, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015132, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.227124, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039151, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.062204, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036007, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.000186, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.942805, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21733, "relative_activity": 0.530564, "balance": 6.942805, "dry_up": 0.314242, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.022898, "annualized_volatility": 0.171557, "from_high_reference": -0.024036, "from_low_reference": 0.160439 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.681853, "fair_value_reference": 29.757132, "structural_low": 33.33, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.035568, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.005074, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.070554, "worst_return": -0.039643, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.057696, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.038494, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.071077, "worst_return": -0.055925, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.092293, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.009463, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.131246, "worst_return": 0.053341, 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"fair_value": 29.567773, "relative_strength": -6.929181, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.688145, "energy": 21.650357, "activity_lines": [ 35.385327, 35.570247, 35.657217, 35.653028 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 34.9698, "volume": 2253, "typical_volume": 39568.85, "trend": 35.60976, "fair_value": 29.622757, "relative_strength": -6.203884, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.709771, "energy": 37.535316, "activity_lines": [ 35.20928, 35.441215, 35.611593, 35.612678 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.4949, "volume": 21294, "typical_volume": 40153.6, "trend": 35.63603, "fair_value": 29.685745, "relative_strength": -5.745275, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.090719, "energy": 34.822632, "activity_lines": [ 35.27566, 35.418073, 35.615365, 35.605268 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.5157, "volume": 21733, "typical_volume": 40962.05, "trend": 35.681853, "fair_value": 29.757132, "relative_strength": -6.220407, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 16.734762, "energy": 10.349133, "activity_lines": [ 35.67354, 35.58914, 35.710468, 35.662021 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }