{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "49655f28-840a-4701-862b-a1584e31c57c",
    "symbol": "00904",
    "name": "Shin Kong TIP Taiwan Semiconductor 30 ETF",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 92.377,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 30.932,
    "architecture_energy": 25.198,
    "architecture_maturity": 73.194,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.289,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.82,
        "rotation_up": 22.19,
        "upward_expansion": 56.04,
        "deceleration": 91.16,
        "rotation_down": 33.12,
        "downward_expansion": 19.71
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        38.622729,
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        39.241478,
        37.092527
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 39.150002,
    "trend_reference": 33.971979,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.15242,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 18.929028,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.068252,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 9.254237,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.432531,
    "excess_performance": 0.053219,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.15242,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.235832,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.068252,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.282364,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.092542,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.134473,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.432531,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.557774,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4741342,
      "relative_activity": 0.345896,
      "balance": 0.557774,
      "dry_up": 0.586003,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.075028,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.379129,
      "from_high_reference": -0.1,
      "from_low_reference": 1.42109
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 33.971979,
      "fair_value_reference": 18.929028,
      "structural_low": 25.625459,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.021397,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006037,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.082224,
        "worst_return": -0.031408,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.043272,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007275,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.089837,
        "worst_return": 0.015748,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.014067,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005246,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.10768,
        "worst_return": -0.079545,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.019569,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009192,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.019569,
        "worst_return": 0.019569,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.066157,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "trend": 32.294811,
        "fair_value": 18.400887,
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        "energy": 46.338947,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 14777974.95,
        "trend": 32.888799,
        "fair_value": 18.576952,
        "relative_strength": 10.085998,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 37.57,
        "volume": 10680349,
        "typical_volume": 14349956.6,
        "trend": 33.424653,
        "fair_value": 18.748168,
        "relative_strength": 8.00674,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.803392,
        "energy": 24.429829,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 39.150002,
        "volume": 4741342,
        "typical_volume": 13707407.65,
        "trend": 33.971979,
        "fair_value": 18.929028,
        "relative_strength": 9.254237,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.932061,
        "energy": 25.198334,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}