{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4968a1fb-db52-4c68-a3d5-6c4861dfb58f",
    "symbol": "AWAY",
    "name": "AMPLIFY ETF TRUST TRAVEL TECH ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 63.319,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.374,
    "architecture_energy": 78.079,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.323,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.591,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.91,
        "rotation_up": 73.69,
        "upward_expansion": 90.3,
        "deceleration": 45.24,
        "rotation_down": 11.1,
        "downward_expansion": 16.96
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        19.06254,
        18.665831,
        18.088103,
        17.772617
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 19.985,
    "trend_reference": 17.700853,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.129042,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 19.582506,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.020554,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -8.060094,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.097203,
    "excess_performance": -0.028422,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.129042,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.045596,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020554,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.100856,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.080601,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.131319,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.097203,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.478955,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 320075,
      "relative_activity": 6.453906,
      "balance": 2.478955,
      "dry_up": 1.852331,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.04394,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.296267,
      "from_high_reference": -0.139875,
      "from_low_reference": 0.289363
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 17.700853,
      "fair_value_reference": 19.582506,
      "structural_low": 15.4999,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.002324,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013557,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.079721,
        "worst_return": -0.060818,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.005729,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.036466,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.087378,
        "worst_return": -0.194833,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.025938,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.09485,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.025834,
        "worst_return": -0.092637,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.005884,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.182935,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.02592,
        "worst_return": -0.014151,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.066905,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.006955,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.05976,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.123974,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.039226,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.075396,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.035182,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.008137,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.02551,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.093746,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.03484,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.178935,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.030006,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.088235,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 17.406684,
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        "typical_volume": 161188.35,
        "trend": 17.519007,
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        "relative_strength": -6.876478,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -41.356732,
        "energy": 27.892613,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 36086.05,
        "trend": 19.128833,
        "fair_value": 19.529148,
        "relative_strength": -22.56418,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "energy": 27.902045,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 35827.3,
        "trend": 19.021717,
        "fair_value": 19.539022,
        "relative_strength": -21.192032,
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        "direction": -27.122776,
        "energy": 27.957146,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 16.5546,
        "volume": 36681,
        "typical_volume": 35370.4,
        "trend": 18.86086,
        "fair_value": 19.538544,
        "relative_strength": -26.917486,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "energy": 22.818215,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 16.4538,
        "volume": 25961,
        "typical_volume": 34851.8,
        "trend": 18.680863,
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        "relative_strength": -27.335483,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 32.571035,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 36631.6,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 23.927037,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 17.24,
        "volume": 87460,
        "typical_volume": 38872.5,
        "trend": 18.416503,
        "fair_value": 19.539051,
        "relative_strength": -21.705895,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -36.900092,
        "energy": 26.43199,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 17.345,
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        "typical_volume": 39843.0,
        "trend": 18.283793,
        "fair_value": 19.536802,
        "relative_strength": -21.058381,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 39832.35,
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        "relative_strength": -18.196569,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "direction": -2.812587,
        "energy": 9.123761,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 17.9549,
        "volume": 26665,
        "typical_volume": 38852.3,
        "trend": 18.144223,
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        "relative_strength": -15.896011,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -2.610839,
        "energy": 13.046419,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.710713,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 18.5456,
        "volume": 21419,
        "typical_volume": 38220.95,
        "trend": 18.060443,
        "fair_value": 19.560387,
        "relative_strength": -14.35715,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 18.5535,
        "volume": 21239,
        "typical_volume": 38473.15,
        "trend": 17.974727,
        "fair_value": 19.564798,
        "relative_strength": -14.83447,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.784147,
        "energy": 46.659981,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.27904,
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          17.507915
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 18.3646,
        "volume": 10419,
        "typical_volume": 37173.05,
        "trend": 17.88238,
        "fair_value": 19.567871,
        "relative_strength": -13.745404,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.658427,
        "energy": 54.322716,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.373107,
          17.997444,
          17.590693,
          17.533068
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 17.79,
        "volume": 19034,
        "typical_volume": 36251.95,
        "trend": 17.781517,
        "fair_value": 19.563171,
        "relative_strength": -15.286012,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 30.872198,
        "energy": 45.011275,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.207667,
          18.025731,
          17.645573,
          17.527108
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 19.3401,
        "volume": 17930,
        "typical_volume": 35352.7,
        "trend": 17.738187,
        "fair_value": 19.57173,
        "relative_strength": -8.401219,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 50.121197,
        "energy": 53.694829,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.573793,
          18.313393,
          17.843843,
          17.627662
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 19.985,
        "volume": 320075,
        "typical_volume": 49594.0,
        "trend": 17.700853,
        "fair_value": 19.582506,
        "relative_strength": -8.060094,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.374366,
        "energy": 78.079336,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.06254,
          18.665831,
          18.088103,
          17.772617
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}