{ "ticker": { "uuid": "496b5cda-d774-4a6f-9f80-ecdc8f53eb5b", "symbol": "CDFF", "name": "Cardiff Property Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 90.093, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 31.614, "architecture_energy": 11.248, "architecture_maturity": 36.836, "architecture_confidence": 55.125, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.4, "rotation_up": 30.48, "upward_expansion": 53.53, "deceleration": 62.42, "rotation_down": 19.21, "downward_expansion": 0.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 2750.0, 2750.0, 2749.982841, 2749.318061 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 2750.0, "trend_reference": 2744.94015, "distance_from_trend": 0.001843, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2511.660651, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.094893, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.014538, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 3.6e-05, "excess_performance": -0.051199, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.001843, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009847, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.094893, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012594, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.060145, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032191, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 3.6e-05, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": null, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": null, "dry_up": 0.425958, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04965, "annualized_volatility": 5e-05, "from_high_reference": -0.051724, "from_low_reference": 0.100122 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2744.94015, "fair_value_reference": 2511.660651, "structural_low": 2599.905362, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.4375, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": -0.003604, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.0625, "worst_return": -0.040816, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 3.6e-05, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.009772, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.142883, "worst_return": -0.061159, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 2.9e-05, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.038109, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.214313, "worst_return": -0.061159, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, 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"volume": 0, "typical_volume": 87.6, "trend": 2741.586937, "fair_value": 2507.804998, "relative_strength": -5.028167, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.694738, "energy": 11.376217, "activity_lines": [ 2750.0, 2750.0, 2749.973787, 2748.340673 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2750.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 87.45, "trend": 2743.263546, "fair_value": 2509.732825, "relative_strength": -5.955217, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.646258, "energy": 11.298729, "activity_lines": [ 2750.0, 2750.0, 2749.978552, 2748.883451 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2750.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 87.45, "trend": 2744.94015, "fair_value": 2511.660651, "relative_strength": -6.014538, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.614059, "energy": 11.248389, "activity_lines": [ 2750.0, 2750.0, 2749.982841, 2749.318061 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }