{ "ticker": { "uuid": "49708b78-b826-41a0-8f66-5a78a3b1cf1d", "symbol": "ALTAO", "name": "ATON", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 58.799, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 10.261, "architecture_energy": 11.373, "architecture_maturity": 40.403, "architecture_confidence": 61.479, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.64, "rotation_up": 19.36, "upward_expansion": 40.47, "deceleration": 77.9, "rotation_down": 32.03, "downward_expansion": 27.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.01056, 0.010829, 0.011572, 0.010704 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.0108, "trend_reference": 0.00942, "distance_from_trend": 0.146497, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.013879, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.221873, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 18.860742, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.8, "excess_performance": 0.746689, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.146497, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.192405, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.221873, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.161563, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.188607, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.931897, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.8, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.192767, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 241404664, "relative_activity": 3.142238, "balance": 4.192767, "dry_up": 1.01174, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.259259, "annualized_volatility": 1.072371, "from_high_reference": -0.627586, "from_low_reference": 1.16 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.00942, "fair_value_reference": 0.013879, "structural_low": 0.0058, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.116667, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.115165, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.116667, "worst_return": -0.116667, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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0.01033 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.0102, "volume": 33960113, "typical_volume": 63471334.65, "trend": 0.008973, "fair_value": 0.014725, "relative_strength": 18.434024, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.486899, "energy": 14.587989, "activity_lines": [ 0.010787, 0.011658, 0.011574, 0.01042 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0106, "volume": 18447024, "typical_volume": 64101199.85, "trend": 0.009153, "fair_value": 0.014429, "relative_strength": 22.145429, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.805804, "energy": 12.205803, "activity_lines": [ 0.01064, 0.011284, 0.011595, 0.010525 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0104, "volume": 17098888, "typical_volume": 64869239.95, "trend": 0.009267, "fair_value": 0.014147, "relative_strength": 17.610714, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.242448, "energy": 13.134179, "activity_lines": [ 0.01048, 0.010985, 0.011575, 0.010605 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0108, "volume": 241404664, "typical_volume": 76825715.25, "trend": 0.00942, "fair_value": 0.013879, "relative_strength": 18.860742, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.261122, "energy": 11.373203, "activity_lines": [ 0.01056, 0.010829, 0.011572, 0.010704 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }