{ "ticker": { "uuid": "497b474a-8937-4dea-b458-21701760d8c5", "symbol": "DMCC", "name": "DMCC Speciality Chemicals Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 59.245, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 47.169, "architecture_energy": 48.422, "architecture_maturity": 26.195, "architecture_confidence": 73.651, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.01, "rotation_up": 63.44, "upward_expansion": 80.07, "deceleration": 38.07, "rotation_down": 10.98, "downward_expansion": 16.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 275.439998, 267.966364, 268.400573, 261.478088 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 277.649994, "trend_reference": 251.851001, "distance_from_trend": 0.102438, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 291.659209, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.048033, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 4.283053, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.229628, "excess_performance": 0.273337, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.102438, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001685, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.048033, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.138711, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.042831, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.182713, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.229628, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.39389, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 380844, "relative_activity": 1.194873, "balance": 0.39389, "dry_up": 0.647089, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082616, "annualized_volatility": 0.559772, "from_high_reference": -0.200781, "from_low_reference": 0.451006 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 251.851001, "fair_value_reference": 291.659209, "structural_low": 191.350006, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.019715, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.040868, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.077522, "worst_return": -0.163738, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.070994, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.108093, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.088332, "worst_return": -0.158393, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.140759, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.216317, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.067355, "worst_return": -0.328086, "sufficient": false }, { 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1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.943366, "energy": 10.112919, "activity_lines": [ 257.150005, 260.315458, 261.591003, 255.030712 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 265.25, "volume": 123561, "typical_volume": 307231.6, "trend": 249.201002, "fair_value": 292.424632, "relative_strength": -0.120217, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.50017, "energy": 14.377454, "activity_lines": [ 260.743337, 259.433639, 262.756812, 256.082153 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 272.75, "volume": 135000, "typical_volume": 309905.45, "trend": 249.702668, "fair_value": 292.111026, "relative_strength": 5.323561, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.509896, "energy": 21.730378, "activity_lines": [ 265.473336, 260.915457, 264.437384, 257.601443 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 282.75, "volume": 185587, "typical_volume": 307972.4, "trend": 250.609335, "fair_value": 291.817462, "relative_strength": 6.558797, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.58369, "energy": 39.742989, "activity_lines": [ 272.103335, 264.955457, 266.830907, 259.733529 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 277.649994, "volume": 380844, "typical_volume": 318731.85, "trend": 251.851001, "fair_value": 291.659209, "relative_strength": 4.283053, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.168512, "energy": 48.422209, "activity_lines": [ 275.439998, 267.966364, 268.400573, 261.478088 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }