{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4985a0b1-d4f7-4ed1-b3dc-fbf99022e9d1", "symbol": "HUM", "name": "Humana AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.861, "architecture_energy": 76.346, "architecture_maturity": 31.744, "architecture_confidence": 89.664, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.22, "rotation_up": 70.31, "upward_expansion": 91.41, "deceleration": 46.61, "rotation_down": 12.77, "downward_expansion": 18.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 62.493334, 60.159092, 55.596366, 52.865268 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 62.400002, "trend_reference": 50.047877, "distance_from_trend": 0.246806, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 37.530229, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.66266, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 16.198339, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.437788, "excess_performance": 0.376294, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.246806, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059337, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.66266, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.291144, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.161983, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.159821, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.437788, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.238401, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 254051, "relative_activity": 0.688015, "balance": 1.238401, "dry_up": 1.140101, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078579, "annualized_volatility": 0.560917, "from_high_reference": -0.076923, "from_low_reference": 0.622887 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 50.047877, "fair_value_reference": 37.530229, "structural_low": 40.450001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.02861, "positive_rate": 0.470588, "directional_follow_through": 0.470588, "median_excess_return": -0.017644, "regime_survival": 0.647059, "best_return": 0.092352, "worst_return": -0.188363, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.00463, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.007755, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.108696, "worst_return": -0.170855, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.027438, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.085242, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.132716, "worst_return": -0.078273, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"typical_volume": 394631.95, "trend": 48.007877, "fair_value": 36.391594, "relative_strength": 29.805506, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.252529, "energy": 65.559152, "activity_lines": [ 53.99, 51.919173, 49.456515, 48.477702 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 62.299999, "volume": 800763, "typical_volume": 399187.05, "trend": 48.429544, "fair_value": 36.632033, "relative_strength": 24.012301, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.721454, "energy": 80.288879, "activity_lines": [ 57.526666, 54.070651, 50.840152, 49.399774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 62.700001, "volume": 631410, "typical_volume": 400295.95, "trend": 48.872877, "fair_value": 36.861923, "relative_strength": 25.031854, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.982358, "energy": 86.21495, "activity_lines": [ 60.286666, 56.020651, 52.166646, 50.320449 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 61.900002, "volume": 528959, "typical_volume": 392824.4, "trend": 49.28121, "fair_value": 37.081377, "relative_strength": 20.598891, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.892749, "energy": 85.323345, "activity_lines": [ 61.916667, 57.550799, 53.335521, 51.160908 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 63.0, "volume": 269519, "typical_volume": 372641.95, "trend": 49.70121, "fair_value": 37.306009, "relative_strength": 20.270527, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.336083, "energy": 86.090212, "activity_lines": [ 62.766667, 59.021094, 54.537253, 52.045992 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 62.400002, "volume": 254051, "typical_volume": 369252.05, "trend": 50.047877, "fair_value": 37.530229, "relative_strength": 16.198339, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.860859, "energy": 76.345699, "activity_lines": [ 62.493334, 60.159092, 55.596366, 52.865268 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }