{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "498cece8-2d1e-4674-948f-023f8c59b8a2",
    "symbol": "CCOI",
    "name": "Cogent Communications Group Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -78.224,
    "architecture_energy": 68.186,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.057,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.605,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.22,
        "rotation_up": 19.86,
        "upward_expansion": 12.79,
        "deceleration": 43.24,
        "rotation_down": 66.81,
        "downward_expansion": 88.46
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        11.584,
        12.324,
        14.572828,
        16.134047
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 9.92,
    "trend_reference": 18.308774,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.458183,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 48.252542,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.794415,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -63.958688,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.590773,
    "excess_performance": -0.778226,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.458183,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.120622,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.794415,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.116468,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.639587,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.072087,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.590773,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.236579,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 11463564,
      "relative_activity": 1.851113,
      "balance": 0.236579,
      "dry_up": 1.123031,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.279871,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.006237,
      "from_high_reference": -0.782165,
      "from_low_reference": 0.102222
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 18.308774,
      "fair_value_reference": 48.252542,
      "structural_low": 9.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": 0.02265,
        "positive_rate": 0.586207,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.413793,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012514,
        "regime_survival": 0.827586,
        "best_return": 0.388763,
        "worst_return": -0.441379,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.42848,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.045296,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.55324,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.034653,
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "trend": 19.331977,
        "fair_value": 49.073125,
        "relative_strength": -61.737637,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -77.097045,
        "energy": 78.834799,
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          12.351333,
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          16.134091,
          17.537941
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.87,
        "volume": 5393717,
        "typical_volume": 5969934.1,
        "trend": 18.977166,
        "fair_value": 48.810952,
        "relative_strength": -56.57734,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.188557,
        "energy": 69.168851,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.03,
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          15.57998,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 13.5,
        "volume": 5382495,
        "typical_volume": 5993966.95,
        "trend": 18.741225,
        "fair_value": 48.572672,
        "relative_strength": -49.429538,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.093464,
        "energy": 52.833914,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.406667,
          13.065636,
          15.234313,
          16.703158
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 9.92,
        "volume": 11463564,
        "typical_volume": 6192796.95,
        "trend": 18.308774,
        "fair_value": 48.252542,
        "relative_strength": -63.958688,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -78.223729,
        "energy": 68.186494,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.584,
          12.324,
          14.572828,
          16.134047
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}