{ "ticker": { "uuid": "498ed569-daa2-435a-9929-b481c1bed23c", "symbol": "SIMRIS-B", "name": "Simris Group AB (PUBL)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.267, "architecture_energy": 50.738, "architecture_maturity": 16.024, "architecture_confidence": 75.923, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.19, "rotation_up": 59.94, "upward_expansion": 81.29, "deceleration": 49.41, "rotation_down": 16.29, "downward_expansion": 14.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.113693, 0.106016, 0.099463, 0.097702 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.1085, "trend_reference": 0.094323, "distance_from_trend": 0.150299, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.139285, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.221023, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.137876, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.276667, "excess_performance": -0.338161, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.150299, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.101736, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.221023, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.188551, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.041379, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.230583, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.276667, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.245741, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 492921, "relative_activity": 0.441757, "balance": 1.245741, "dry_up": 1.43805, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.278625, "annualized_volatility": 1.422928, "from_high_reference": -0.480861, "from_low_reference": 1.699005 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.094323, "fair_value_reference": 0.139285, "structural_low": 0.0586, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.132384, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.137326, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.241737, "worst_return": -0.359769, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.090909, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.067358, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.59204, "worst_return": -0.196875, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.082462, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.158341, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.278607, "worst_return": -0.44353, "sufficient": false }, 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"regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.14198, "energy": 46.497297, "activity_lines": [ 0.108527, 0.100929, 0.096086, 0.095027 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.115, "volume": 1277311, "typical_volume": 1213636.15, "trend": 0.0922, "fair_value": 0.140353, "relative_strength": 2.439864, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.445637, "energy": 47.455863, "activity_lines": [ 0.113127, 0.10438, 0.098119, 0.096651 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.1085, "volume": 492921, "typical_volume": 1115818.7, "trend": 0.094323, "fair_value": 0.139285, "relative_strength": -4.137876, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.266919, "energy": 50.738329, "activity_lines": [ 0.113693, 0.106016, 0.099463, 0.097702 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }