{ "ticker": { "uuid": "49914576-3024-4960-8e7d-9d5e523216b4", "symbol": "XDWT", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI World Information Technology UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.592, "architecture_energy": 50.006, "architecture_maturity": 65.553, "architecture_confidence": 64.052, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.42, "rotation_up": 43.19, "upward_expansion": 76.36, "deceleration": 74.07, "rotation_down": 28.87, "downward_expansion": 7.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 112.948001, 112.554546, 110.21281, 105.570968 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 117.980003, "trend_reference": 99.995, "distance_from_trend": 0.179859, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 81.595665, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.44591, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.844295, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.348343, "excess_performance": 0.26546, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.179859, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068566, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.44591, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.093247, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.098443, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032537, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.348343, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.312255, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 34240, "relative_activity": 2.653359, "balance": 3.312255, "dry_up": 1.442609, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044349, "annualized_volatility": 0.24552, "from_high_reference": -0.015521, "from_low_reference": 0.433362 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 99.995, "fair_value_reference": 81.595665, "structural_low": 82.309998, "invalidation": "A 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96.247666, "fair_value": 79.760661, "relative_strength": 6.516936, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.846192, "energy": 65.2166, "activity_lines": [ 112.665333, 110.891817, 103.797, 99.916774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 111.68, "volume": 2, "typical_volume": 9513.85, "trend": 96.770333, "fair_value": 80.066945, "relative_strength": 5.705362, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.374231, "energy": 62.108857, "activity_lines": [ 112.278666, 111.513454, 105.089428, 100.912408 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 114.0, "volume": 12520, "typical_volume": 9978.15, "trend": 97.470333, "fair_value": 80.374543, "relative_strength": 9.042424, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.089314, "energy": 63.281447, "activity_lines": [ 112.768, 112.32509, 106.484238, 102.024 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 110.0, "volume": 10152, "typical_volume": 10122.8, "trend": 98.081, "fair_value": 80.659254, "relative_strength": 4.266218, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.233172, "energy": 47.39861, "activity_lines": [ 111.878667, 112.097818, 107.376476, 102.832365 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 111.440002, "volume": 7420, "typical_volume": 10385.25, "trend": 98.69, "fair_value": 80.947033, "relative_strength": 5.570553, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.334137, "energy": 44.532626, "activity_lines": [ 111.525334, 112.039636, 108.300714, 103.694236 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 109.0, "volume": 22652, "typical_volume": 11339.85, "trend": 99.200667, "fair_value": 81.236808, "relative_strength": 3.07414, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.750536, "energy": 36.083402, "activity_lines": [ 110.696001, 111.473091, 108.881571, 104.359398 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 117.980003, "volume": 34240, "typical_volume": 12904.4, "trend": 99.995, "fair_value": 81.595665, "relative_strength": 9.844295, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.592443, "energy": 50.006092, "activity_lines": [ 112.948001, 112.554546, 110.21281, 105.570968 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }