{ "ticker": { "uuid": "49a59b39-3160-4d4a-901c-1c5ec3ae1a4a", "symbol": "AMXB", "name": "Am\u00e9rica M\u00f3vil, S.A.B. de C.V.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 68.734, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -15.957, "architecture_energy": 27.131, "architecture_maturity": 41.56, "architecture_confidence": 75.64, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.05, "rotation_up": 21.07, "upward_expansion": 49.97, "deceleration": 65.18, "rotation_down": 40.68, "downward_expansion": 36.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.810792, 22.226293, 22.509314, 22.357711 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 20.41, "trend_reference": 21.763366, "distance_from_trend": -0.062186, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.996996, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.2008, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.552236, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.101457, "excess_performance": 0.156124, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.062186, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043423, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.2008, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.208961, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.035522, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.141836, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.101457, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.217165, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 167181727, "relative_activity": 0.90354, "balance": 0.217165, "dry_up": 0.801252, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.055382, "annualized_volatility": 0.308649, "from_high_reference": -0.156638, "from_low_reference": 0.178192 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.763366, "fair_value_reference": 16.996996, "structural_low": 18.51, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.024653, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.011954, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.157556, "worst_return": -0.068066, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.104805, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.075177, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.2329, "worst_return": -0.040076, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.131461, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.069159, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.461475, "worst_return": -0.024641, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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16.932411, "relative_strength": 9.767865, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.829865, "energy": 15.673107, "activity_lines": [ 22.703609, 22.721255, 22.763614, 22.320427 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.799999, "volume": 130171036, "typical_volume": 194909184.55, "trend": 21.574366, "fair_value": 16.960606, "relative_strength": 8.90176, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.615194, "energy": 11.964793, "activity_lines": [ 22.710042, 22.737783, 22.785466, 22.408404 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.07, "volume": 146434456, "typical_volume": 187864496.25, "trend": 21.691366, "fair_value": 16.984122, "relative_strength": 4.316012, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.370706, "energy": 6.633301, "activity_lines": [ 22.508551, 22.627583, 22.72989, 22.44038 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.41, "volume": 167181727, "typical_volume": 185029675.95, "trend": 21.763366, "fair_value": 16.996996, "relative_strength": -3.552236, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -15.957432, "energy": 27.131452, "activity_lines": [ 21.810792, 22.226293, 22.509314, 22.357711 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }