{ "ticker": { "uuid": "49ca110d-af75-4f82-9112-b91e28b8c07b", "symbol": "601601", "name": "China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -38.393, "architecture_energy": 28.52, "architecture_maturity": 87.548, "architecture_confidence": 79.77, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.2, "rotation_up": 30.44, "upward_expansion": 22.17, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 26.61, "downward_expansion": 60.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.377484, 30.438651, 31.55664, 33.390888 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 31.469999, "trend_reference": 36.249362, "distance_from_trend": -0.131847, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 31.406622, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.002018, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.907853, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.309111, "excess_performance": -0.265907, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.131847, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065618, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.002018, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.186621, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.139079, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032291, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.309111, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.685808, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 244883160, "relative_activity": 1.256856, "balance": 0.685808, "dry_up": 1.600845, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071338, "annualized_volatility": 0.269827, "from_high_reference": -0.349659, "from_low_reference": 0.152776 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.249362, "fair_value_reference": 31.406622, 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"direction": -67.282477, "energy": 66.044034, "activity_lines": [ 28.807606, 29.575424, 32.118033, 34.357323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.950001, "volume": 411421620, "typical_volume": 185338718.15, "trend": 36.929695, "fair_value": 31.330328, "relative_strength": -10.531173, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.964835, "energy": 50.701055, "activity_lines": [ 29.919695, 29.833046, 31.899172, 34.016504 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 32.360001, "volume": 268590211, "typical_volume": 191229322.35, "trend": 36.597362, "fair_value": 31.363825, "relative_strength": -9.440377, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.523451, "energy": 35.53723, "activity_lines": [ 30.963044, 30.212303, 31.754072, 33.721685 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.469999, "volume": 244883160, "typical_volume": 194837861.25, "trend": 36.249362, "fair_value": 31.406622, "relative_strength": -13.907853, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.393019, "energy": 28.519705, "activity_lines": [ 31.377484, 30.438651, 31.55664, 33.390888 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }