{ "ticker": { "uuid": "49d43f12-c479-49c9-ba59-36c247021a1e", "symbol": "XWEM", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI World Momentum ESG UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 95.301, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 45.455, "architecture_energy": 28.998, "architecture_maturity": 65.609, "architecture_confidence": 84.695, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.21, "rotation_up": 25.64, "upward_expansion": 58.61, "deceleration": 91.17, "rotation_down": 28.7, "downward_expansion": 22.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 66.102334, 66.619728, 66.001596, 64.203194 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 67.165001, "trend_reference": 62.0395, "distance_from_trend": 0.082617, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 47.906861, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.401991, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 5.411958, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.145281, "excess_performance": 0.094046, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.082617, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066545, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.401991, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022726, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.05412, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063732, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.145281, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.04041, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2775, "relative_activity": 0.175184, "balance": 0.04041, "dry_up": 4.437912, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.02696, "annualized_volatility": 0.189803, "from_high_reference": -0.03311, "from_low_reference": 0.294373 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 62.0395, "fair_value_reference": 47.906861, "structural_low": 52.945, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"teal", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.033375, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.063568, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.005714, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.00488, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.016166, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { 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"energy": 40.892768, "activity_lines": [ 66.319334, 66.869728, 65.476119, 63.605903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 65.205002, "volume": 273014, "typical_volume": 15762.35, "trend": 61.706, "fair_value": 47.684778, "relative_strength": 2.75851, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.702463, "energy": 28.430455, "activity_lines": [ 65.790667, 66.563728, 65.669691, 63.851 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 67.165001, "volume": 2775, "typical_volume": 15840.5, "trend": 62.0395, "fair_value": 47.906861, "relative_strength": 5.411958, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.455492, "energy": 28.9981, "activity_lines": [ 66.102334, 66.619728, 66.001596, 64.203194 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }