{ "ticker": { "uuid": "49e0edb2-d21b-4ef1-b990-5924bfce98fd", "symbol": "BLRN", "name": "BladeRanger Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.72, "architecture_energy": 30.312, "architecture_maturity": 42.451, "architecture_confidence": 93.897, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.69, "rotation_up": 19.74, "upward_expansion": 2.78, "deceleration": 51.45, "rotation_down": 46.74, "downward_expansion": 73.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.384933, 0.390636, 0.401152, 0.415071 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.38, "trend_reference": 0.4538, "distance_from_trend": -0.162627, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.785103, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.515987, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -20.839341, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.358108, "excess_performance": -0.387008, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.162627, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077455, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.515987, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.084011, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.208393, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00514, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.358108, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.434918, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 292687, "relative_activity": 0.461629, "balance": 0.434918, "dry_up": 0.408392, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.155668, "annualized_volatility": 0.627339, "from_high_reference": -0.512195, "from_low_reference": 0.310345 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.4538, "fair_value_reference": 0.785103, "structural_low": 0.345, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": -0.053162, "positive_rate": 0.368421, "directional_follow_through": 0.631579, "median_excess_return": -0.051384, "regime_survival": 0.842105, "best_return": 0.574268, "worst_return": -0.372768, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.124409, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.231541, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.2149, "worst_return": -0.511547, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.355212, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.455676, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.688623, "worst_return": -0.70022, "sufficient": true }, { 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"regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.089655, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.359073, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.113043, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.024793, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.337243, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", 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0.404, "volume": 315123, "typical_volume": 736656.3, "trend": 0.475067, "fair_value": 0.850436, "relative_strength": -15.977448, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.789573, "energy": 26.901606, "activity_lines": [ 0.401, 0.404309, 0.409229, 0.432073 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.404, "volume": 74304, "typical_volume": 717958.35, "trend": 0.469633, "fair_value": 0.829173, "relative_strength": -17.984919, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.692249, "energy": 24.921825, "activity_lines": [ 0.403267, 0.403727, 0.408324, 0.427488 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.36, "volume": 353619, "typical_volume": 673865.0, "trend": 0.462833, "fair_value": 0.808314, "relative_strength": -24.805337, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.255193, "energy": 31.460307, "activity_lines": [ 0.389333, 0.395073, 0.403624, 0.420415 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.38, "volume": 292687, "typical_volume": 634030.5, "trend": 0.4538, "fair_value": 0.785103, "relative_strength": -20.839341, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.719655, "energy": 30.312215, "activity_lines": [ 0.384933, 0.390636, 0.401152, 0.415071 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }