{ "ticker": { "uuid": "49ef928d-1f3d-43a2-9e43-7b8dbe852fd5", "symbol": "GPT", "name": "INTELLIGENT ALPHA ATLAS ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 80.435, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.631, "architecture_energy": 38.692, "architecture_maturity": 58.716, "architecture_confidence": 64.352, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.76, "rotation_up": 47.03, "upward_expansion": 77.84, "deceleration": 65.66, "rotation_down": 25.88, "downward_expansion": 4.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.77088, 33.68774, 33.45665, 32.9806 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 34.3581, "trend_reference": 32.367883, "distance_from_trend": 0.061487, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.30996, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.21364, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.459061, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.104251, "excess_performance": -0.083203, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.061487, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036576, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.21364, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002912, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.034591, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019158, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.104251, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.51685, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6821, "relative_activity": 0.737107, "balance": 1.51685, "dry_up": 0.601729, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.027856, "annualized_volatility": 0.137799, "from_high_reference": -0.008138, "from_low_reference": 0.259474 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.367883, "fair_value_reference": 28.30996, "structural_low": 29.47, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.010758, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.010567, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.021599, "worst_return": -0.023894, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.019478, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.012312, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.019478, "worst_return": 0.019478, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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33.5765, "volume": 4910, "typical_volume": 9086.1, "trend": 32.14534, "fair_value": 28.194857, "relative_strength": -0.308631, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.71343, "energy": 34.770239, "activity_lines": [ 33.55292, 33.541698, 33.236621, 32.761394 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.4268, "volume": 5513, "typical_volume": 9206.95, "trend": 32.241867, "fair_value": 28.248244, "relative_strength": -1.306255, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.493963, "energy": 27.089058, "activity_lines": [ 33.50592, 33.531305, 33.309322, 32.844069 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.3581, "volume": 6821, "typical_volume": 9253.75, "trend": 32.367883, "fair_value": 28.30996, "relative_strength": -3.459061, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.631147, "energy": 38.691749, "activity_lines": [ 33.77088, 33.68774, 33.45665, 32.9806 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }