{ "ticker": { "uuid": "49f703c8-4036-4466-96b9-a1afae4ca29e", "symbol": "301228", "name": "SEP Analytical (Shanghai) Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 28.998, "architecture_energy": 23.725, "architecture_maturity": 80.523, "architecture_confidence": 92.432, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.96, "rotation_up": 27.47, "upward_expansion": 58.61, "deceleration": 85.49, "rotation_down": 40.2, "downward_expansion": 22.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 65.330667, 68.456182, 67.236238, 62.433699 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 69.510002, "trend_reference": 55.874333, "distance_from_trend": 0.244042, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.208782, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.652165, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 49.187951, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.763766, "excess_performance": 0.756366, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.244042, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.251142, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.652165, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.219927, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.49188, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028205, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.763766, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.921569, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22577806, "relative_activity": 1.378138, "balance": 0.921569, "dry_up": 1.301535, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.181114, "annualized_volatility": 0.983383, "from_high_reference": -0.18185, "from_low_reference": 1.996121 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 55.874333, "fair_value_reference": 26.208782, "structural_low": 37.849998, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.003181, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.001684, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.186992, "worst_return": -0.123967, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.359103, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.338144, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.591851, "worst_return": -0.108884, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.618357, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.502064, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.016575, "worst_return": -0.404117, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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66.867999, 70.213454, 65.315285, 59.913462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 59.849998, "volume": 25095093, "typical_volume": 15746619.8, "trend": 53.816667, "fair_value": 25.506026, "relative_strength": 37.132856, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.889982, "energy": 24.088976, "activity_lines": [ 62.928665, 68.335454, 65.375428, 60.344086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 71.540001, "volume": 16478463, "typical_volume": 15998316.85, "trend": 54.844333, "fair_value": 25.864487, "relative_strength": 63.928988, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.343825, "energy": 26.62586, "activity_lines": [ 64.225333, 68.612727, 66.471285, 61.487527 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 69.510002, "volume": 22577806, "typical_volume": 16382832.05, "trend": 55.874333, "fair_value": 26.208782, "relative_strength": 49.187951, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.998492, "energy": 23.725236, "activity_lines": [ 65.330667, 68.456182, 67.236238, 62.433699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }