{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4a03bd4b-5f1d-45ae-8637-1f93b4db8100",
    "symbol": "QUS",
    "name": "BetaShares S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 78.893,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.08,
    "architecture_energy": 63.269,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.752,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.743,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.06,
        "rotation_up": 64.71,
        "upward_expansion": 86.55,
        "deceleration": 65.01,
        "rotation_down": 21.76,
        "downward_expansion": 10.88
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        56.200666,
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        54.694007,
        53.960719
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 56.599998,
    "trend_reference": 53.358409,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.060751,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 48.886295,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.157789,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.932591,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.071361,
    "excess_performance": 0.007655,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060751,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013592,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.157789,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079523,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009326,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028628,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071361,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.887818,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 358553,
      "relative_activity": 1.291943,
      "balance": 1.887818,
      "dry_up": 1.343139,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019832,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.099291,
      "from_high_reference": -0.012389,
      "from_low_reference": 0.131321
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 53.358409,
      "fair_value_reference": 48.886295,
      "structural_low": 50.029999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 36,
        "median_return": 0.004425,
        "positive_rate": 0.527778,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.527778,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003706,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.048683,
        "worst_return": -0.058988,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "positive_rate": 0.416667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.416667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011929,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.087854,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.022568,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005311,
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        "worst_return": -0.106302,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.00852,
        "sufficient": false
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        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "color": "orange",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 270376.75,
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        "fair_value": 47.723931,
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "direction": -47.445323,
        "energy": 26.077524,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 282267.45,
        "trend": 52.642894,
        "fair_value": 47.907119,
        "relative_strength": 1.171519,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 79308,
        "typical_volume": 279657.3,
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        "fair_value": 48.002848,
        "relative_strength": 3.732812,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 21.821698,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 54.157185,
        "volume": 25562,
        "typical_volume": 272873.25,
        "trend": 52.69914,
        "fair_value": 48.10237,
        "relative_strength": 2.454193,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 34.171204,
        "energy": 51.082363,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 54.314133,
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        "typical_volume": 264807.1,
        "trend": 52.768826,
        "fair_value": 48.200658,
        "relative_strength": 2.368695,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 37.504029,
        "energy": 65.639551,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 55.913052,
        "volume": 77859,
        "typical_volume": 247122.65,
        "trend": 52.838145,
        "fair_value": 48.301176,
        "relative_strength": 6.016489,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 63.351556,
        "energy": 82.091273,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 56.349998,
        "volume": 93857,
        "typical_volume": 228262.15,
        "trend": 52.934948,
        "fair_value": 48.405632,
        "relative_strength": 5.751796,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.241177,
        "energy": 95.740866,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 55.939999,
        "volume": 936126,
        "typical_volume": 263219.3,
        "trend": 53.001522,
        "fair_value": 48.508666,
        "relative_strength": 5.333614,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.253137,
        "energy": 90.456909,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.708306,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 56.209999,
        "volume": 479415,
        "typical_volume": 267039.9,
        "trend": 53.090345,
        "fair_value": 48.607094,
        "relative_strength": 5.810046,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.402282,
        "energy": 89.90446,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.000015,
          55.159174,
          53.843231,
          53.38916
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 55.549999,
        "volume": 300188,
        "typical_volume": 255969.5,
        "trend": 53.172076,
        "fair_value": 48.696824,
        "relative_strength": 4.761138,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.32138,
        "energy": 81.706705,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.934869,
          55.383303,
          54.088648,
          53.547847
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 56.25,
        "volume": 352890,
        "typical_volume": 266041.05,
        "trend": 53.27841,
        "fair_value": 48.790739,
        "relative_strength": 3.594801,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.761539,
        "energy": 65.656424,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.020666,
          55.661209,
          54.387685,
          53.746423
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 56.599998,
        "volume": 358553,
        "typical_volume": 277530.0,
        "trend": 53.358409,
        "fair_value": 48.886295,
        "relative_strength": 0.932591,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.080387,
        "energy": 63.268907,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.200666,
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          54.694007,
          53.960719
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}