{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4a070b78-ffee-468e-b5a6-82ca9fb40d0e", "symbol": "6028", "name": "Golden Insurance Brokers Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 90.851, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 30.851, "architecture_energy": 46.237, "architecture_maturity": 40.023, "architecture_confidence": 43.526, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.0, "rotation_up": 55.27, "upward_expansion": 39.03, "deceleration": 47.32, "rotation_down": 22.0, "downward_expansion": 54.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 85.933333, 82.974545, 81.395426, 83.496881 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 96.0, "trend_reference": 87.249934, "distance_from_trend": 0.100287, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 88.485695, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.084921, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -32.228936, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.025205, "excess_performance": -0.466577, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.100287, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.093089, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.084921, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.134082, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.322289, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.190822, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.025205, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.269046, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 562568, "relative_activity": 2.491455, "balance": 2.269046, "dry_up": 0.940737, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.029087, "annualized_volatility": 0.387029, "from_high_reference": -0.254776, "from_low_reference": 0.260305 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 87.249934, "fair_value_reference": 88.485695, "structural_low": 76.172064, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.044621, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.049715, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.002012, "worst_return": -0.091255, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.058121, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.155284, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.081476, "worst_return": -0.197719, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.032898, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.306509, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.275971, "worst_return": -0.341766, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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87.802077, "fair_value": 87.850594, "relative_strength": -42.850044, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.150905, "energy": 57.472422, "activity_lines": [ 79.393332, 79.358181, 79.838882, 83.243495 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 83.0, "volume": 147010, "typical_volume": 203456.85, "trend": 87.270444, "fair_value": 88.127212, "relative_strength": -40.382693, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.390992, "energy": 32.371235, "activity_lines": [ 80.626666, 80.019999, 79.956799, 82.933683 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 96.0, "volume": 562568, "typical_volume": 225798.95, "trend": 87.249934, "fair_value": 88.485695, "relative_strength": -32.228936, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 30.850725, "energy": 46.236937, "activity_lines": [ 85.933333, 82.974545, 81.395426, 83.496881 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }