{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4a0b4367-7cd3-4746-8a28-fe170d7d1c16", "symbol": "TWO", "name": "Two Harbors Investments Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.598, "architecture_energy": 83.449, "architecture_maturity": 31.533, "architecture_confidence": 88.71, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.34, "rotation_up": 50.92, "upward_expansion": 92.59, "deceleration": 47.66, "rotation_down": 29.58, "downward_expansion": 21.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.053102, 12.017553, 11.966023, 11.679314 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 12.12, "trend_reference": 11.470051, "distance_from_trend": 0.056665, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.100333, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.19996, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.144409, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.131393, "excess_performance": 0.005768, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.056665, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06664, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.19996, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040551, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.021444, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070549, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.131393, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.887994, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25326943, "relative_activity": 2.023831, "balance": 1.887994, "dry_up": 1.219048, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01289, "annualized_volatility": 0.356963, "from_high_reference": -0.11852, "from_low_reference": 0.422617 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.470051, "fair_value_reference": 10.100333, "structural_low": 8.519511, 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"Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.863309, "energy": 38.56586, "activity_lines": [ 11.96365, 11.984885, 11.819336, 11.549854 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.979356, "volume": 10504034, "typical_volume": 13147774.55, "trend": 11.389983, "fair_value": 10.063342, "relative_strength": 6.077842, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.064094, "energy": 36.484842, "activity_lines": [ 11.968099, 11.976797, 11.875134, 11.591676 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.09, "volume": 17112998, "typical_volume": 13145524.25, "trend": 11.461623, "fair_value": 10.081457, "relative_strength": 5.665283, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.168665, "energy": 70.561276, "activity_lines": [ 12.009637, 11.993834, 11.927212, 11.636838 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.12, "volume": 25326943, "typical_volume": 12514359.3, "trend": 11.470051, "fair_value": 10.100333, "relative_strength": 2.144409, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.597866, "energy": 83.44877, "activity_lines": [ 12.053102, 12.017553, 11.966023, 11.679314 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }