{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4a151fe0-b9be-4e1d-9f1c-1abe00429780", "symbol": "PORT", "name": "Sahathai Terminal Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 93.653, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.727, "architecture_energy": 80.182, "architecture_maturity": 34.0, "architecture_confidence": 81.738, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.71, "rotation_up": 74.5, "upward_expansion": 87.91, "deceleration": 48.63, "rotation_down": 9.59, "downward_expansion": 16.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.774667, 0.718727, 0.657429, 0.621806 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.87, "trend_reference": 0.585667, "distance_from_trend": 0.485487, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.067244, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.184816, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 20.661594, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.611111, "excess_performance": 0.418786, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.485487, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05716, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.184816, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.326407, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.206616, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.481227, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.611111, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.583701, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 49304700, "relative_activity": 7.861745, "balance": 7.583701, "dry_up": 3.480922, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.110522, "annualized_volatility": 0.529836, "from_high_reference": -0.138614, "from_low_reference": 0.851064 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.585667, "fair_value_reference": 1.067244, "structural_low": 0.47, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.009901, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.032657, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.238095, "worst_return": -0.18, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.086527, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.115933, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.070352, "worst_return": -0.102703, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.165829, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.218234, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.165829, "worst_return": -0.165829, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"activity_lines": [ 0.638, 0.626, 0.587762, 0.572559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.61, "volume": 2615300, "typical_volume": 2151615.0, "trend": 0.561667, "fair_value": 1.07641, "relative_strength": -17.758718, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.653873, "energy": 31.815852, "activity_lines": [ 0.626667, 0.626364, 0.592333, 0.575763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.78, "volume": 33884800, "typical_volume": 3806950.0, "trend": 0.569, "fair_value": 1.073077, "relative_strength": 5.497918, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.230509, "energy": 49.64195, "activity_lines": [ 0.674667, 0.656545, 0.612762, 0.589849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.77, "volume": 1517200, "typical_volume": 3859180.0, "trend": 0.575667, "fair_value": 1.069679, "relative_strength": 5.851686, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.506077, "energy": 59.807084, "activity_lines": [ 0.712667, 0.68, 0.630952, 0.602817 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.87, "volume": 49304700, "typical_volume": 6271470.0, "trend": 0.585667, "fair_value": 1.067244, "relative_strength": 20.661594, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.726883, "energy": 80.182273, "activity_lines": [ 0.774667, 0.718727, 0.657429, 0.621806 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }