{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4a2c3168-360d-4e7f-9dcf-fe2de4f5f053", "symbol": "EIT-PB", "name": "Canoe EIT Income Fund", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.179, "architecture_energy": 46.003, "architecture_maturity": 65.393, "architecture_confidence": 73.162, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.11, "rotation_up": 57.84, "upward_expansion": 79.37, "deceleration": 58.95, "rotation_down": 19.21, "downward_expansion": 6.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.49, 25.460546, 25.4114, 25.339559 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 25.48, "trend_reference": 25.235452, "distance_from_trend": 0.009691, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.503543, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.084092, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.552108, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.021103, "excess_performance": -0.099318, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.009691, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007788, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.084092, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008102, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.095521, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001107, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.021103, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.14499, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4904, "relative_activity": 1.733842, "balance": 2.14499, "dry_up": 1.874912, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.005333, "annualized_volatility": 0.019306, "from_high_reference": -0.004688, "from_low_reference": 0.051686 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.235452, "fair_value_reference": 23.503543, "structural_low": 24.777608, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 45, "median_return": 0.004455, "positive_rate": 0.822222, "directional_follow_through": 0.822222, "median_excess_return": -0.014098, "regime_survival": 0.911111, "best_return": 0.017647, "worst_return": -0.013218, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.01582, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.028883, "regime_survival": 0.933333, "best_return": 0.028881, "worst_return": 0.003846, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.033165, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.030515, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.039412, "worst_return": 0.015532, "sufficient": true }, { 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"relative_strength": -7.792067, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.502641, "energy": 44.94494, "activity_lines": [ 25.428667, 25.421072, 25.358491, 25.282219 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.5, "volume": 4028, "typical_volume": 3492.6, "trend": 25.196424, "fair_value": 23.444143, "relative_strength": -7.695028, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.904156, "energy": 48.015545, "activity_lines": [ 25.458667, 25.438364, 25.378767, 25.303085 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.5, "volume": 1500, "typical_volume": 3353.25, "trend": 25.218225, "fair_value": 23.47449, "relative_strength": -6.917114, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.32202, "energy": 49.2639, "activity_lines": [ 25.483333, 25.453273, 25.397006, 25.32267 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.48, "volume": 4904, "typical_volume": 2828.4, "trend": 25.235452, "fair_value": 23.503543, "relative_strength": -9.552108, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.179429, "energy": 46.002776, "activity_lines": [ 25.49, 25.460546, 25.4114, 25.339559 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }