{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4a412511-edf4-49a0-ac3b-d1722933da5f", "symbol": "605268", "name": "Wangli Security & Surveillance Product Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.351, "architecture_energy": 62.84, "architecture_maturity": 39.386, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.34, "rotation_up": 27.21, "upward_expansion": 12.33, "deceleration": 48.48, "rotation_down": 51.99, "downward_expansion": 83.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.981333, 9.077604, 9.882115, 10.491269 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 9.05, "trend_reference": 11.028853, "distance_from_trend": -0.179425, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.143417, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.010217, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.317873, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.166667, "excess_performance": -0.123463, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.179425, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042357, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.010217, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.344598, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.153179, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.201477, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.166667, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.18876, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12224665, "relative_activity": 0.445629, "balance": 0.18876, "dry_up": 0.500067, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072288, "annualized_volatility": 0.484248, "from_high_reference": -0.512129, "from_low_reference": 0.068477 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.028853, "fair_value_reference": 9.143417, "structural_low": 8.47, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.008357, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": 0.013585, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.12844, "worst_return": -0.071591, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.048696, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.014522, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.557721, "worst_return": -0.150673, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.136842, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.059364, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.21889, "worst_return": -0.09279, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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37852749.35, "trend": 11.145187, "fair_value": 9.152457, "relative_strength": -18.203572, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.242339, "energy": 75.008973, "activity_lines": [ 8.963591, 9.221989, 10.241407, 10.755659 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.08, "volume": 11663820, "typical_volume": 31657472.85, "trend": 11.082853, "fair_value": 9.147882, "relative_strength": -13.032771, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.727471, "energy": 62.666826, "activity_lines": [ 8.98412, 9.134796, 10.052666, 10.622421 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.05, "volume": 12224665, "typical_volume": 27432379.4, "trend": 11.028853, "fair_value": 9.143417, "relative_strength": -15.317873, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.351441, "energy": 62.839935, "activity_lines": [ 8.981333, 9.077604, 9.882115, 10.491269 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }