{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4a459677-f139-47b5-bba1-40e976132b8e", "symbol": "SYP", "name": "Synopsys, Inc.", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.43, "architecture_energy": 76.084, "architecture_maturity": 11.528, "architecture_confidence": 82.133, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.92, "rotation_up": 8.3, "upward_expansion": 16.94, "deceleration": 37.1, "rotation_down": 78.1, "downward_expansion": 92.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 343.6, 358.518182, 379.368571, 380.295592 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 357.0, "trend_reference": 383.501667, "distance_from_trend": -0.069104, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 450.379807, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.207336, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.511918, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.005433, "excess_performance": -0.070072, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.069104, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008634, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.207336, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.16475, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.165119, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.195436, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.005433, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.497574, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 909, "relative_activity": 0.748579, "balance": 0.497574, "dry_up": 1.436013, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077677, "annualized_volatility": 0.46665, "from_high_reference": -0.334452, "from_low_reference": 0.11042 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 383.501667, "fair_value_reference": 450.379807, "structural_low": 321.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.038003, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": 0.025565, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.153271, "worst_return": -0.202333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.09039, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.050145, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.209955, "worst_return": 0.074717, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.020187, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.036708, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.248167, "worst_return": -0.051196, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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-8.746926, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -3.256249, "energy": 14.88542, "activity_lines": [ 388.633333, 398.990909, 398.025238, 393.811936 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 331.5, "volume": 3588, "typical_volume": 1291.6, "trend": 391.351667, "fair_value": 451.567627, "relative_strength": -20.32436, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -53.325204, "energy": 50.609212, "activity_lines": [ 368.833333, 384.927273, 392.553333, 389.80914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 330.5, "volume": 1247, "typical_volume": 1230.65, "trend": 389.006667, "fair_value": 451.064422, "relative_strength": -20.672312, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.777289, "energy": 75.891808, "activity_lines": [ 353.0, 372.518182, 387.070714, 385.883226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 332.0, "volume": 1231, "typical_volume": 1209.8, "trend": 386.601667, "fair_value": 450.605448, "relative_strength": -21.057754, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.716566, "energy": 80.870183, "activity_lines": [ 342.133333, 362.109091, 381.95881, 382.205377 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 357.0, "volume": 909, "typical_volume": 1214.3, "trend": 383.501667, "fair_value": 450.379807, "relative_strength": -16.511918, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.430366, "energy": 76.084261, "activity_lines": [ 343.6, 358.518182, 379.368571, 380.295592 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }