{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4a5fc23f-fe04-4da7-9385-92e7cd609a76", "symbol": "6638", "name": "Goldtek Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 94.995, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 33.237, "architecture_energy": 19.582, "architecture_maturity": 36.812, "architecture_confidence": 43.674, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.42, "rotation_up": 39.86, "upward_expansion": 62.16, "deceleration": 62.61, "rotation_down": 22.93, "downward_expansion": 14.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 49.716668, 49.699092, 49.722143, 46.63785 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 45.950001, "trend_reference": 41.533334, "distance_from_trend": 0.10634, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 53.68218, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.144036, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.309512, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.767308, "excess_performance": 0.325936, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.10634, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.206079, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.144036, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.103758, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.073095, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.108735, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.767308, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.311569, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 93774, "relative_activity": 0.568041, "balance": 1.311569, "dry_up": 0.486959, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.220725, "annualized_volatility": 1.061947, "from_high_reference": -0.364454, "from_low_reference": 0.934737 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.533334, "fair_value_reference": 53.68218, "structural_low": 23.75, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.024359, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.02333, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.049049, "worst_return": -0.125123, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.057033, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.07068, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.206186, "worst_return": -0.128079, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.195327, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.041418, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.161384, "worst_return": -0.510897, "sufficient": false }, { 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38.645, "fair_value": 53.92803, "relative_strength": -7.279518, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.450989, "energy": 20.182437, "activity_lines": [ 47.52, 49.876364, 47.784048, 43.765162 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 54.099998, "volume": 107788, "typical_volume": 211474.75, "trend": 39.496667, "fair_value": 53.884988, "relative_strength": 12.129695, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.823737, "energy": 20.379618, "activity_lines": [ 49.256666, 50.443636, 48.719524, 44.762258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 51.400002, "volume": 93965, "typical_volume": 187675.3, "trend": 40.226667, "fair_value": 53.826484, "relative_strength": 8.44102, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.716019, "energy": 20.842676, "activity_lines": [ 50.086667, 50.280909, 49.264762, 45.530215 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 52.400002, "volume": 26028, "typical_volume": 167543.95, "trend": 40.955, "fair_value": 53.775005, "relative_strength": 8.533923, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.066713, "energy": 26.331912, "activity_lines": [ 51.190001, 50.581819, 49.836191, 46.315592 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 45.950001, "volume": 93774, "typical_volume": 165083.25, "trend": 41.533334, "fair_value": 53.68218, "relative_strength": -7.309512, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.236536, "energy": 19.582236, "activity_lines": [ 49.716668, 49.699092, 49.722143, 46.63785 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }