{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4a80889d-b0ec-4284-bc6a-f2c1e2e4dcc6", "symbol": "600452", "name": "Chongqing Fuling Electric Power Industrial Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 92.362, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.756, "architecture_energy": 43.216, "architecture_maturity": 39.196, "architecture_confidence": 73.037, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.51, "rotation_up": 23.56, "upward_expansion": 10.99, "deceleration": 59.08, "rotation_down": 48.05, "downward_expansion": 72.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.554, 9.58295, 10.415022, 10.973703 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 9.68, "trend_reference": 11.433225, "distance_from_trend": -0.153345, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.885418, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.02078, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.515732, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.220612, "excess_performance": -0.177408, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.153345, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008217, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.02078, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.230858, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.095157, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.148837, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.220612, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.590866, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 136911545, "relative_activity": 0.71152, "balance": 2.590866, "dry_up": 0.99704, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.12334, "annualized_volatility": 0.570845, "from_high_reference": -0.423809, "from_low_reference": 0.116494 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.433225, "fair_value_reference": 9.885418, "structural_low": 8.67, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.035469, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.010862, "regime_survival": 0.6875, "best_return": 0.325507, "worst_return": -0.138825, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.013047, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": 0.005079, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.6258, "worst_return": -0.007368, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.090452, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.061631, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.116897, "worst_return": 0.019187, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"energy": 81.786627, "activity_lines": [ 9.298675, 10.048283, 10.910547, 11.315811 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.44, "volume": 352484567, "typical_volume": 219404382.2, "trend": 11.413891, "fair_value": 9.925772, "relative_strength": -8.912783, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.489214, "energy": 70.222797, "activity_lines": [ 9.302667, 9.800051, 10.697372, 11.188334 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.83, "volume": 142263021, "typical_volume": 202616953.05, "trend": 11.422891, "fair_value": 9.906455, "relative_strength": -5.613858, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.358866, "energy": 49.690157, "activity_lines": [ 9.471333, 9.680031, 10.550435, 11.086148 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.68, "volume": 136911545, "typical_volume": 192421248.75, "trend": 11.433225, "fair_value": 9.885418, "relative_strength": -9.515732, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.756455, "energy": 43.216063, "activity_lines": [ 9.554, 9.58295, 10.415022, 10.973703 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }