{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4a905294-e9b7-43b7-ad0a-ee02e56bd80f", "symbol": "300978", "name": "WINBO-Dongjian Automotive Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.182, "architecture_energy": 57.55, "architecture_maturity": 88.984, "architecture_confidence": 90.272, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.38, "rotation_up": 27.36, "upward_expansion": 10.45, "deceleration": 60.87, "rotation_down": 50.25, "downward_expansion": 81.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.261333, 8.340317, 8.980222, 9.611445 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 8.46, "trend_reference": 10.497775, "distance_from_trend": -0.194115, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.93771, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.226529, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.366255, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.309951, "excess_performance": -0.317351, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.194115, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.108611, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.226529, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.195813, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.263663, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029988, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.309951, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.650672, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16780008, "relative_activity": 1.050693, "balance": 0.650672, "dry_up": 1.076796, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083277, "annualized_volatility": 0.31447, "from_high_reference": -0.439073, "from_low_reference": 0.097276 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.497775, "fair_value_reference": 10.93771, "structural_low": 7.71, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.017166, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": 0.022813, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.327009, "worst_return": -0.136287, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.132508, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.055493, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.355981, "worst_return": -0.201069, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.103616, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.015152, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.329085, "worst_return": -0.022231, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"close": 7.78, "volume": 17681892, "typical_volume": 16601663.0, "trend": 10.793816, "fair_value": 10.994117, "relative_strength": -31.034187, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.816121, "energy": 69.763292, "activity_lines": [ 8.124, 8.433322, 9.237222, 9.904735 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.42, "volume": 15077728, "typical_volume": 16102317.5, "trend": 10.632178, "fair_value": 10.957929, "relative_strength": -23.564644, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.023834, "energy": 63.646092, "activity_lines": [ 8.193333, 8.363742, 9.097889, 9.751585 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.46, "volume": 16780008, "typical_volume": 15970419.5, "trend": 10.497775, "fair_value": 10.93771, "relative_strength": -26.366255, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.181789, "energy": 57.549627, "activity_lines": [ 8.261333, 8.340317, 8.980222, 9.611445 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }