{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4aa098db-bf70-4017-a347-4d009ba0fc22", "symbol": "K33", "name": "K33 AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 29.994, "architecture_energy": 16.045, "architecture_maturity": 26.863, "architecture_confidence": 77.187, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 64.37, "rotation_up": 22.76, "upward_expansion": 51.06, "deceleration": 92.05, "rotation_down": 26.14, "downward_expansion": 17.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.02586, 0.026707, 0.025466, 0.024412 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 0.0258, "trend_reference": 0.02345, "distance_from_trend": 0.100213, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.030651, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.158273, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -23.194637, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.309645, "excess_performance": 0.24815, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.100213, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031259, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.158273, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040779, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.231946, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.244536, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.309645, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.874163, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 101254659, "relative_activity": 0.401759, "balance": 2.874163, "dry_up": 0.540981, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.235838, "annualized_volatility": 0.807318, "from_high_reference": -0.583871, "from_low_reference": 0.394595 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.02345, "fair_value_reference": 0.030651, "structural_low": 0.019, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.018868, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": 0.027297, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.39759, "worst_return": -0.145455, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.24, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.23177, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.842975, "worst_return": -0.13783, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.36478, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.276759, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.607438, "worst_return": -0.029703, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"gate": "up", "direction": 50.871588, "energy": 44.460961, "activity_lines": [ 0.028227, 0.026973, 0.024888, 0.024021 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.026, "volume": 134910292, "typical_volume": 256856309.85, "trend": 0.02364, "fair_value": 0.030679, "relative_strength": -23.975823, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.958431, "energy": 24.445553, "activity_lines": [ 0.027187, 0.027009, 0.025133, 0.024172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0251, "volume": 124923978, "typical_volume": 253739153.15, "trend": 0.023537, "fair_value": 0.030663, "relative_strength": -25.653762, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.023821, "energy": 15.182331, "activity_lines": [ 0.02614, 0.026805, 0.025275, 0.024266 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0258, "volume": 101254659, "typical_volume": 252028560.65, "trend": 0.02345, "fair_value": 0.030651, "relative_strength": -23.194637, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.993874, "energy": 16.045211, "activity_lines": [ 0.02586, 0.026707, 0.025466, 0.024412 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }